Match Info

Liga F Women - Round 24

Date: 29 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Centro Deportivo Wanda Alcalá de Henares (Madrid)

Referee: Penalver A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN 1
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Canada	DAZN Canada
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Spain	DAZN 2 Bar Espana, DAZN 2 Espana, DAZN Espana, Max, Movistar Plus+ 2
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
United-kingdom	DAZN 1 UK
Usa	DAZN USA


	Atlético Madrid		Valencia

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.29	4.8	8
	1.29	4.9	8.2
	1.34	4.82	9.13	Watch
	1.32	4.8	9.96
	1.29	4.9	8.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.32)	4.84 ↓ (4.9)	8.7 ↑ (7.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Madrid
70.4%

Draw
19%

Valencia
10.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.9%

18.6%

12.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.4%

17.9%

12.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Valencia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Madrid than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valencia than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Atlético Madrid - Valencia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lola (G) 3. Vicente A. 4. Lauren Leal 15. Lloris S. 14. Otermin R. 8. Garcia G. 17. Pinto T. 22. Luany 21. Iannuzzi F. 7. Jensen S. 18. Gio Garbelini	13. Canales A. (G) 19. Real K. 5. Carro M. 24. Marques A. 14. Pauleta 6. Florentino C. 21. Mrabet Y. K. 7. Marti M. 10. Alguacil A. 15. Esteve A. 22. Browne P.
Substitutes
16. Ajibade R. 6. Boe Risa V. 19. Cardona M. 9. Guijarro S. 13. Larque P. (G) 20. Medina A. 5. Perez X. 10. Vitoria A.	23. Ait El Haj H. 11. Ali A. 9. Anita 40. Galvez C. 4. Hagg S. 16. Martin E. 20. Martinez Salinas A. 3. Simon B. 2. Tamarit S.
Coaches
Alba V.	Toro C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
33', Otermin R. ↓, Medina A. ↑,
44', 1 - 0, Jensen S. ⚽, Medina A. (A),
45+3', 2 - 0, Luany ⚽, Iannuzzi F. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Mrabet Y. K. ↓, Martinez Salinas A. ↑,
48', Carro M. 🟨,
54', 3 - 0, Lloris S. ⚽, Jensen S. (A),
55', Alguacil A. ↓, Ali A. ↑,
68', Pinto T. ↓, Ajibade R. ↑,
68', Garcia G. ↓, Vitoria A. ↑,
68', Real K. ↓, Tamarit S. ↑,
68', Florentino C. ↓, Simon B. ↑,
76', Luany ↓, Cardona M. ↑,
76', Jensen S. ↓, Guijarro S. ↑,
77', Marti M. ↓, Anita ↑,
77', Lloris S. 🟨,
82', Simon B. 🟨,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League Women (Qualification: ) and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Primera Federacion Women).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Atlético Madrid won 5.

Atlético Madrid is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Valencia is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Atlético Madrid is absolute favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Atlético Madrid won 13 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 41:12 (average 2.1:0.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Atlético Madrid won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 20:7 (average 2.2:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Madrid Féminas
Spanish Liga F Women
23.03.25	Real Sociedad - Atlético Madrid	0:2 ✺
16.03.25	Atlético Madrid - Espanyol	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa De La Reina
13.03.25	Atlético Madrid - Granada	3:2 ✺
Spanish Liga F Women
09.03.25	Atlético Madrid - Betis	0:0 ✺
Spanish Copa De La Reina
05.03.25	Granada - Atlético Madrid	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WTWTW
- Valencia CF Femenino
Spanish Liga F Women
23.03.25	Valencia - Madrid CFF	4:1 ✺
15.03.25	Betis - Valencia	0:1 ✺
09.03.25	Barcelona - Valencia	4:1 ✺
01.03.25	Valencia - Levante	1:1 ✺
15.02.25	Sevilla - Valencia	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Liga F Women
22.09.24	Valencia - Atlético Madrid	0:4
30.03.24	Atlético Madrid - Valencia	1:0
07.01.24	Valencia - Atlético Madrid	1:6
01.04.23	Atlético Madrid - Valencia	6:2
04.12.22	Valencia - Atlético Madrid	0:1
26.03.22	Atlético Madrid - Valencia	3:0
07.11.21	Valencia - Atlético Madrid	1:1

Atlético Madrid - Valencia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide