Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 3 - ROUND 27

Date: 17 March 2024, Sunday

Location: Camp d'Esports (Lleida)


	Lleida		Formentera

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.6	5.75
	1.68	3.5	5
	1.49	3.75	7.49
	1.49	3.75	7.49
	1.46	3.84	7.5
	1.5	3.7	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.68)	3.69 ↑ (3.47)	6.57 ↑ (4.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lleida
60.9%

Draw
25.1%

Formentera
14.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.9%

26.5%

18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.2%

26.4%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lleida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lleida's performance.

Formentera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lleida than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lleida that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Formentera than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Lleida - Formentera Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
34', Becerra J. ⚽,
41', Bakero J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', Sergio Montero 🟥,
90+6', Chuli ⚽,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lleida won 3.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Lleida could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Lleida is indisputable favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Lleida won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Lleida won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lleida
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
09.03.24	Espanyol B - Lleida	3:1 ✺
03.03.24	Valencia B - Lleida	0:1 ✺
25.02.24	Lleida - Badalona Futur	0:1 ✺
18.02.24	Peña Deportiva - Lleida	1:3 ✺
11.02.24	Lleida - Manresa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LWLWW
- SD Formentera
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
10.03.24	Formentera - Badalona Futur	0:0 ✺
03.03.24	Peña Deportiva - Formentera	0:1 ✺
24.02.24	Formentera - Manresa	3:1 ✺
18.02.24	Atlético Saguntino - Formentera	1:0 ✺
11.02.24	Formentera - Alzira	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 TWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
05.11.23	Formentera - Lleida	1:0
19.02.23	Lleida - Formentera	2:0
02.10.22	Formentera - Lleida	0:1
20.03.22	Lleida - Formentera	2:1
31.10.21	Formentera - Lleida	2:1
01.04.18	Lleida - Formentera	0:1
05.11.17	Formentera - Lleida	1:0

Lleida - Formentera: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide