Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 16

Date: 21 December 2024, Saturday


	Valladares		Estradense

	1	X	2
	4	3.25	1.78
	4.1	3.35	1.79
	4.05	3.25	1.84
	4.86	3.52	1.67	Watch
	4.28	3.36	1.76
	4.1	3.35	1.79
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.23 ↓ (4.84)	3.35 ↓ (3.6)	1.77 ↑ (1.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valladares
21.5%

Draw
27.2%

Estradense
51.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.8%

25.2%

56%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.4%

24.7%

57.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valladares has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Estradense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valladares than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estradense than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Estradense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Valladares - Estradense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
35', 0 - 1, Sanchez R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs: )).

Valladares is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Estradense is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Estradense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Estradense is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Valladares
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
15.12.24	Gran Peña - Valladares	1:1 ✺
08.12.24	Valladares - Somozas	1:2 ✺
05.12.24	Valladares - Villalonga	1:2 ✺
10.11.24	Arosa - Valladares	3:0 ✺
01.11.24	Valladares - Atlético Arteixo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TLLLW
- CD Estradense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
14.12.24	Estradense - Arosa	1:2 ✺
06.12.24	Atlético Arteixo - Estradense	0:2 ✺
01.12.24	Estradense - UD Ourense	0:2 ✺
24.11.24	Betanzos - Estradense	0:1 ✺
17.11.24	Estradense - Polvorín	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWLWW

Valladares - Estradense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide