Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 23

Date: 23 February 2025, Sunday


	Valladares		Polvorín

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.05	2.15
	3.2	3.08	2.13
	3.25	3.15	2.16	Watch
	3.4	3.14	2.19
	3.25	3.05	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.27 ↑ (2.18)	3.09 ↓ (3.25)	2.16 ↓ (3.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valladares
28%

Draw
29.6%

Polvorín
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

28%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

27.3%

29.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valladares has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Valladares's form might have worsened.

Polvorín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Polvorín's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valladares than the current prediction. (+14.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Valladares, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polvorín than the current prediction. (-12.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Polvorín, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Valladares - Polvorín Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, ⚽,
44', 🟥,
45', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
59', 2 - 1, ⚽,
70', 2 - 2, ⚽,
76', 3 - 2, ⚽,
90', 3 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 12 and 9).

Recent matches Valladares is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Polvorín is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Polvorín could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Valladares have a series of guest games.

Valladares will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Valladares
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
16.02.25	RC Villalbes - Valladares	4:1 ✺
09.02.25	Valladares - Noia	2:1 ✺
02.02.25	Viveiro - Valladares	2:3 ✺
19.01.25	Alondras - Valladares	2:3 ✺
11.01.25	Silva SD - Valladares	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.5 LWWWL
- Polvorín FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
16.02.25	Polvorín - Arosa	2:3 ✺
08.02.25	Atlético Arteixo - Polvorín	1:0 ✺
02.02.25	Polvorín - UD Ourense	2:2 ✺
19.01.25	Polvorín - Barbadás	2:0 ✺
12.01.25	RC Villalbes - Polvorín	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LLTWL

Valladares - Polvorín: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide