Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 4

Date: 28 September 2025, Sunday


	Valladolid B		Atlético Astorga

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.3	4.55
	1.71	3.35	5
	1.91	3.27	3.99	Watch
	1.75	3.42	4.61
	1.45	4.05	6.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↑ (1.5)	3.48 ↓ (4)	5 ↓ (5.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valladolid B
54.6%

Draw
26.8%

Atlético Astorga
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.7%

22.8%

16.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.3%

21.9%

15.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valladolid B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Valladolid B's form might have worsened.

Atlético Astorga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valladolid B than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Valladolid B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Astorga than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Valladolid B - Atlético Astorga Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
16', 0 - 1, Cervero A. ⚽,
44', 0 - 2, Nistal J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', 1 - 2, Carvajal A. ⚽,
77', 1 - 3, El Battioui A. ⚽,

Preview

Recent form of Valladolid B has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Atlético Astorga has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.

In this match, Valladolid B is a strong favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Valladolid B won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 2:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Valladolid B won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 3:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valladolid B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
20.09.25	Real Oviedo B - Valladolid B	2:1 ✺
14.09.25	Valladolid B - Gimnástica Segoviana	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
30.08.25	Valladolid B - Navalcarnero	1:2 ✺
22.08.25	Valladolid B - Rayo Majadahonda	1:1 ✺
13.08.25	Valladolid B - Coria	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LTLTT
- Atlético Astorga
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
20.09.25	Atlético Astorga - Coruxo	0:2 ✺
14.09.25	Salamanca - Atlético Astorga	2:0 ✺
06.09.25	Atlético Astorga - Real Ávila	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
30.08.25	Atlético Astorga - Barco	1:0 ✺
27.08.25	Atlético Astorga - Villaralbo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
19.03.16	Atlético Astorga - Valladolid B	0:1
01.11.15	Valladolid B - Atlético Astorga	3:1
11.01.15	Valladolid B - Atlético Astorga	3:3
23.08.14	Atlético Astorga - Valladolid B	2:1

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