Match Info

Serie D - Group G - Round 11

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Valmontone		Nocerina

	1	X	2
	2.98	3.1	2.18
	3.06	3.48	2.09	Watch
	3.02	3.15	2.21
	2.95	3.35	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	3 ↓ (3.1)	3.27 ↓ (3.43)	2.16 ↑ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valmontone
30.2%

Draw
27.8%

Nocerina
42%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

29.4%

26.6%

44.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.5%

26.7%

44%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valmontone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Nocerina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valmontone than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nocerina than the current prediction. (+2%)

Valmontone - Nocerina Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Nocerina (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group G (Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group G (Play Offs: )).

In recent matches, Valmontone has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Nocerina is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Nocerina will hold a modest advantage in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valmontone 1921
Italian Serie D - Group G
02.11.25	Anzio - Valmontone	0:3 ✺
26.10.25	Valmontone - Albalonga	3:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
22.10.25	Valmontone - Orvietana	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group G
19.10.25	Scafatese - Valmontone	4:1 ✺
12.10.25	Valmontone - Trastevere	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWWLL
- Nocerina
Italian Serie D - Group G
02.11.25	Nocerina - Cassino	2:0 ✺
26.10.25	Real Monterotondo - Nocerina	1:3 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
22.10.25	Reggina - Nocerina	2:3 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group G
19.10.25	Nocerina - Montespaccato	1:1 ✺
12.10.25	Budoni - Nocerina	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWWTL

Valmontone - Nocerina

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Valmontone - Nocerina Predictions

Key Events of the Match

Preview

Form

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