Match Info

Besta deild karla - Round 11

Date: 21 June 2026, Sunday

Location: Hlídarendi (Reykjavík)

Referee: Gudmundsson P. (Ice)

Where to Watch on TV:


Iceland	SÝN Sport Ísland 3
World	Onefootball


	Valur		Keflavík

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.10	3.90	2.75
	2.12	3.95	2.82	Watch
	2.14	4.29	2.72
	2.12	4.18	2.87	Watch
	2.1	4	2.63
	2.11	4.2	2.77	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (2.11)	4.09 ↑ (3.93)	2.76 ↓ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valur
43.8%

Draw
22.7%

Keflavík
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.2%

23.7%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

23.6%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Keflavík has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valur than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Keflavík than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	40%	0%

Valur - Keflavík Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Valur will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
18. Schram F. (G) 11. Stole I. 21. Palsson J. 15. Eyjolfsson H. (C) 66. Stephensen O. 24. Veldman M. 13. Haagensen K. 14. Skoglund A. 28. Fridjonsson S. 8. Jonsson J. 12. Haraldsson T.	1. Magnusson A. (G) 3. Johannesson A. 20. Brigic M. 5. Aronsson D. 22. Magnusson A. 18. Bjarnason E. (C) 8. Baxter B. 23. Ragnarsson E. 11. Al Ghoul M. 21. Conteh A. 14. Mudrazija M.
Substitutes
25. Agustsson S. (G) 6. Antonsson B. 5. Arnarsson K. 27. Eiriksson P. 3. Gunnarsson H. 16. Kristjansson L. 23. Palsson A. 36. Tufegdzic N. 37. Tufegdzic S.	9. Al Ghoul H. 25. Elvarsson F. 17. Gudlaugsson B. 4. Heras N. 30. Hermannsson H. (G) 47. Karlsson E. 13. Kralj A. 6. Magnusson S. 26. Traustason V. A.
Coaches
Hreidarsson H.	Gudmundsson H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Haraldsson T. ⚽, Palsson J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
64', Bjarnason E. ↓, Magnusson S. ↑,
65', Al Ghoul M. ↓, Elvarsson F. ↑,
71', 1 - 1, Mudrazija M. ⚽, Conteh A. (A),
75', Haagensen K. ↓, Arnarsson K. ↑,
75', Palsson J. ↓, Gunnarsson H. ↑,
85', Elvarsson F. 🟨,
88', Conteh A. ↓, Kralj A. ↑,
90+1', Brigic M. 🟨,
90+2', Ragnarsson E. ↓, Al Ghoul H. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Besta deild karla (Championship Group: ) and 8 in the zone Besta deild karla (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Valur won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Valur won 14 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 35:18. (average 1.8:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Valur won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:9. (average 2:0.9).

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Keflavik	24	8	5	11	36:44	-8	29

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valur Reykjavik
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
16.06.26	Akraness - Valur	1:0 ✺
31.05.26	Valur - Vikingur Reykjavik	1:5 ✺
26.05.26	KR Reykjavík - Valur	3:1 ✺
22.05.26	KA Akureyri - Valur	0:1 ✺
17.05.26	Valur - Breiðablik	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LLLWW
- Keflavík
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
14.06.26	Keflavík - FH Hafnarfjordur	1:2 ✺
31.05.26	ÍBV Vestmannaeyar - Keflavík	6:1 ✺
22.05.26	Keflavík - Thor Akureyri	1:0 ✺
17.05.26	Keflavík - Stjarnan	1:1 ✺
08.05.26	Akraness - Keflavík	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic Cup
09.06.24	Keflavík - Valur	3:4 penalties
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
13.08.23	Keflavík - Valur	1:1
21.05.23	Valur - Keflavík	0:0
11.07.22	Valur - Keflavík	0:3
24.04.22	Keflavík - Valur	0:1
15.08.21	Valur - Keflavík	2:1
24.05.21	Keflavík - Valur	1:2

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