Match Info

ARMENIA: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 28

Date: 21 April 2023, Friday


	Van		Lernayin Artsakh

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.3	5.5
	1.67	3.83	4.96
	1.6	3.3	5.5
	1.59	3.64	5.5	Watch
	1.59	3.45	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.75)	3.5 (3.5)	5.37 ↑ (4.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Van
56.9%

Draw
26.1%

Lernayin Artsakh
17%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.8%

25.9%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

21.3%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Van has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Van's performance.

Lernayin Artsakh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lernayin Artsakh might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Van than the current prediction. (-14.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Van that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lernayin Artsakh than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lernayin Artsakh could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Van - Lernayin Artsakh Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Van will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Lernayin Artsakh will win (votes: 6 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lernayin Artsakh: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Preview

Van is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Lernayin Artsakh has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Van is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Van won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Van won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Van
Armenian Premier League
17.04.23	Van - Noah Yerevan	1:1 ✺
09.04.23	Alashkert - Van	3:1 ✺
01.04.23	Shirak Gyumri - Van	1:0 ✺
17.03.23	Van - Ararat-Armenia	1:2 ✺
10.03.23	Ararat - Van	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 TLLLW
- Lernayin Artsakh
Armenian Premier League
16.04.23	Shirak Gyumri - Lernayin Artsakh	1:0 ✺
10.04.23	Lernayin Artsakh - Ararat-Armenia	0:2 ✺
31.03.23	Ararat - Lernayin Artsakh	2:0 ✺
16.03.23	Lernayin Artsakh - Pyunik	0:6 ✺
11.03.23	Urartu Yerevan - Lernayin Artsakh	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Armenian Premier League
28.11.22	Lernayin Artsakh - Van	0:2
11.10.22	Van - Lernayin Artsakh	1:1
Armenian Cup
06.10.22	Lernayin Artsakh - Van	1:3
Armenian Premier League
29.07.22	Lernayin Artsakh - Van	0:1

Upcoming Matches