Match Info

3rd Division - Round 11

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Vanlose Idraetspark (Vanlose) 🌤️ ...


	Vanløse		Holbæk

	1	X	2
	2.85	3.4	2.13
	2.81	3.36	2.28
	2.75	3.69	2.21	Watch
	2.75	3.3	2.25
	2.76	3.4	2.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.78 ↓ (2.93)	3.43 ↓ (3.68)	2.22 ↑ (2.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vanløse
32.6%

Draw
26.5%

Holbæk
40.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31.4%

25%

43.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2%

25.2%

43.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vanløse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Holbæk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vanløse than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Holbæk than the current prediction. (+3%)

Vanløse - Holbæk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - 3rd Division (Promotion Group: ) and 1st in the Promotion - 3rd Division (Promotion Group: )).

Vanløse has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Holbæk has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Holbæk could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Holbæk is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Vanløse has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:9 (averaging 1.2:1.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Vanløse against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 3:4 goals (averaging 1:1.3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Holbaek	13	9	2	2	32:19	13	29
3	Vanlose	13	6	6	1	19:11	8	24

Last Results with these Odds

Vanløse - the odds 2.93 are the expected chance of winning is 31.4%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vanløse
Danish 3 Division
03.10.26	Sundby - Vanløse	0:1 ✺
26.09.26	Vanløse - Brønshøj BK	1:1 ✺
19.09.26	Hørsholm-Usserød - Vanløse	1:1 ✺
13.09.26	Vanløse - Ishøj IF	1:0 ✺
Danish Landspokal Cup
09.09.26	Vanløse - Hillerød	2:1 AET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 WTTWW
- Holbæk B&I
Danish 3 Division
03.10.26	Holbæk - ASA Aarhus	2:1 ✺
25.09.26	Helsingør - Holbæk	5:1 ✺
18.09.26	Holbæk - Ringsted	5:2 ✺
13.09.26	Hørsholm-Usserød - Holbæk	3:1 ✺
05.09.26	Ishøj IF - Holbæk	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Danish 3 Division
08.11.25	Holbæk - Vanløse	4:1
20.09.25	Vanløse - Holbæk	1:3
06.04.24	Holbæk - Vanløse	1:2
18.08.23	Vanløse - Holbæk	1:1
Danish 2 Division - Group 1
10.08.19	Vanløse - Holbæk	1:0

Vanløse - Holbæk