Match Info

1. Lig - Round 8

Date: 29 September 2025, Monday

Location: Ataturk City Stadium (Van)

Referee: Pakkan B. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor


	Vanspor		Amed SK

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.9	1.8	Watch
	3.87	3.49	1.83
	4.21	3.66	1.85
	3.27	3.37	2.11	Watch
	3.87	3.56	1.84
	2.77	3.6	2.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.65 ↑ (2.7)	3.6 ↑ (3.52)	1.95 ↓ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vanspor
25.7%

Draw
26.1%

Amed SK
48.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.1%

26.2%

39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9%

25.2%

41.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vanspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vanspor's form might have worsened.

Amed SK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Amed SK's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vanspor than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vanspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amed SK than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Amed SK, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	0%	91.7%

Vanspor - Amed SK Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Vanspor will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Amed will win (votes: 11 - 91.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Amed: 76.1% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Amed (1.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Amed SK will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Amed (votes: 9 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Akbaba C. (C) 13. Oulare N. 4. Dikmen E. 40. Lucas Africo 17. Manis M. 7. Vlachomitros A. 41. Ozcan M. 22. Destici S. 8. Traore A. 10. Jefferson 19. Bikoue	31. Kardesler E. (C) 7. Ucar M. 21. Yesil M. 15. Gezer U. 70. Koc A. 5. Kurt S. 65. Aydin O. 33. Afena-Gyan F. 91. Saba D. 27. Moreno D. 45. Diagne M.
Substitutes
18. Bilal H. 65. Bingol M. 53. Cavusoglu M. 1. Damlu A. (G) 6. Jevsenak Z. 76. Kara B. C. 9. Kor B. 44. Secgin E. 77. Usta G. 11. Xesc	14. Bassan E. 10. Cekdar O. 47. Demirtas K. 77. Hanalp C. 3. Kaldirim H. A. 35. Kara A. 22. Kaya B. (G) 8. Kouyate C. 17. Poko A. 11. Traore A.
Coaches
Kutlu H.	Altiparmak M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Kurt S. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Manis M. ↓, Kara B. C. ↑,
46', Vlachomitros A. ↓, Xesc ↑,
48', Bikoue 🟨,
64', 1 - 0, Xesc ⚽,
68', Afena-Gyan F. ↓, Bassan E. ↑,
68', Kurt S. ↓, Traore A. ↑,
75', Saba D. 🟨,
75', Gezer U. 🟨,
78', Aydin O. ↓, Poko A. ↑,
82', Traore A. ↓, Jevsenak Z. ↑,
84', 2 - 0, Kara B. C. ⚽, Jefferson (A),
85', Diagne M. ↓, Cekdar O. ↑,
85', Koc A. ↓, Kaldirim H. A. ↑,
87', Jefferson ↓, Secgin E. ↑,
90+3', Bikoue ↓, Bingol M. ↑,
90+7', 3 - 0, Bingol M. ⚽, Secgin E. (A),

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 13 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Recent form of Vanspor has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Amed is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Amed might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Vanspor: Beler M. (Inactive) Coksu M. (Inactive) Olmez S. (Inactive)

There will not play in Amed: Cetin Y. (Inactive) Sapan V. (Suspended)

There are questionable in Amed: Fernando Andrade (Injury)

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vanspor FK
Turkish First League
24.09.25	Bodrumspor - Vanspor	2:0 ✺
20.09.25	Vanspor - Sivasspor	0:0 ✺
13.09.25	Çorum - Vanspor	0:0 ✺
29.08.25	Vanspor - Bandırmaspor	1:2 ✺
23.08.25	Igdirspor - Vanspor	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LTTLT
- Amed SK
Turkish First League
25.09.25	Amed SK - Sarıyer	2:0 ✺
21.09.25	Sakaryaspor - Amed SK	2:1 ✺
14.09.25	Amed SK - Pendikspor	2:1 ✺
31.08.25	Adana Demirspor - Amed SK	1:8 ✺
24.08.25	Amed SK - Sivasspor	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLWWW

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