Match Info

1. Lig - Round 6

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Ataturk City Stadium (Van)

Referee: Coskunses R. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Tabii Spor 6, Tabii, TRT Spor


	Vanspor		Sivasspor

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.25	2.88	Watch
	2.33	3.19	2.86
	2.41	3.4	3.04
	2.75	2.52	3.18	Watch
	2.36	3.3	2.75
	2.39	3.15	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↑ (2.38)	3.14 ↓ (3.28)	2.9 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vanspor
38.2%

Draw
29.7%

Sivasspor
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.6%

28%

33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3%

27.5%

32.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vanspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Sivasspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vanspor than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sivasspor than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Vanspor - Sivasspor Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Vanspor (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Vanspor (1.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Vanspor (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Akbaba C. (G) 22. Destici S. 4. Dikmen E. 40. Lucas Africo 11. Xesc 44. Secgin E. (C) 41. Ozcan M. 61. Genc F. C. 10. Jefferson 19. Bikoue 8. Traore A.	35. Vural A. (G) 7. Paluli M. 2. Appindangoye A. 3. Erdogan O. 58. Ciftci U. (C) 6. Yigiter O. 80. Celik C. 9. Luan 72. Avramovski D. 27. Ethemi V. 14. Boke T.
Substitutes
18. Bilal H. 65. Bingol M. 53. Cavusoglu M. 1. Damlu A. (G) 6. Jevsenak Z. 76. Kara B. C. 9. Kor B. 17. Manis M. 13. Oulare N. 7. Vlachomitros A.	1. Bakirbas G. (G) 5. Basyigit E. 20. Celik M. 15. Fidan K. 19. Gokay E. 17. Kesgin K. 23. Kimpioka B. 12. Malle A. 26. Yildirim M. 96. Yilmaz C.
Coaches
Kutlu H.	Korkmaz O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
50', Lucas Africo 🟨,
57', Traore A. 🟨,
61', Secgin E. ↓, Vlachomitros A. ↑,
61', Traore A. ↓, Kara B. C. ↑,
62', Celik C. 🟨,
69', Genc F. C. ↓, Oulare N. ↑,
72', Luan ↓, Kimpioka B. ↑,
72', Dikmen E. 🟨,
74', Xesc ↓, Manis M. ↑,
74', Jefferson ↓, Jevsenak Z. ↑,
80', Avramovski D. ↓, Fidan K. ↑,
86', Ethemi V. ↓, Malle A. ↑,
90+2', Oulare N. 🟥,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 16).

Vanspor has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Sivasspor's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Sivasspor: Luan (Groin Injury)

There are questionable in Sivasspor: Abdullah Cakmak A. (Injury) Ethemi V. (Injury)

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Last Results with these Odds

Vanspor - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 38.59%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Sivasspor - the odds 2.75 are the expected chance of winning is 33.4%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vanspor FK
Turkish First League
13.09.25	Çorum - Vanspor	0:0 ✺
29.08.25	Vanspor - Bandırmaspor	1:2 ✺
23.08.25	Igdirspor - Vanspor	0:0 ✺
17.08.25	Vanspor - Erokspor	1:0 ✺
10.08.25	Boluspor - Vanspor	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 TLTWW
- Sivasspor
Turkish First League
13.09.25	Sivasspor - Sarıyer	1:0 ✺
31.08.25	Pendikspor - Sivasspor	2:1 ✺
24.08.25	Amed SK - Sivasspor	4:2 ✺
17.08.25	Sivasspor - Bodrumspor	1:1 ✺
09.08.25	Erzurumspor - Sivasspor	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLLTL

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