Match Info

1. Lig - Round 11

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Yeni 4 Eylül Stadyumu (Sivas) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Caliskan E. K. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Asia	—	TOD
Turkey	16:00	beIN Connect, Digiturk, Tabii, TRT Spor


	Sivasspor		Sarıyer

	1	X	2
	2.30	3.10	2.80	Watch
	2.25	3.20	2.70
	2.28	3.28	2.86	Watch
	2.44	3.42	2.95
	2.34	3.38	2.89	Watch
	2.35	3.35	2.85
	2.29	3.18	2.82
	2.29	3.25	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↑ (2.14)	3.27 ↑ (3.22)	2.84 ↓ (3.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sivasspor
39.6%

Draw
28.1%

Sarıyer
32.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.9%

28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sivasspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Sarıyer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sivasspor than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarıyer than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Sivasspor - Sarıyer Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Sivasspor will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Erdursun A. (G) 26. Yildirim F. 4. Celik M. 34. Tuzlacik T. 77. Kefkir Y. 66. Aksoy O. 20. Mohammed M. 30. Ceesay E. 28. Kavrazli S. 27. Ethemi V. 9. Manaj R. (C)	13. Sehic I. (G) 23. Ergun U. 24. Arslan K. 88. Osmanpasa C. (C) 5. Korkmazoglu E. 28. Yesilyurt H. E. 7. Alici B. 53. Poko A. 17. Davas D. 10. Karaca E. 90. Eze E.
Substitutes
90. Albayrak M. 1. Bakirbas G. (G) 91. Baskuyu O. 23. Celik C. 8. Charisis C. 17. Duodu C. 19. Gokay E. 11. Kapacak B. 99. Yilmaz C. 43. Yurdcu E.	1. Akyuz F. (G) 3. Attamah J. 4. Dikmen E. 14. Ergul T. 41. Gedik F. 11. Karadag E. 9. Kor B. 19. Sen Y. 93. Thiam M. 27. Yucel M.
Coaches
Tasdemir I.	Eskikoy U.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
1', 0 - 1, Poko A. ⚽,
30', 1 - 1, Manaj R. ⚽, Ceesay E. (A),
32', Arslan K. 🟨,
45+3', Yesilyurt H. E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Kavrazli S. ↓, Celik C. ↑,
46', Osmanpasa C. ↓, Attamah J. ↑,
63', Ceesay E. ↓, Charisis C. ↑,
63', Aksoy O. ↓, Kapacak B. ↑,
68', Poko A. ↓, Ergul T. ↑,
69', Davas D. ↓, Karadag E. ↑,
82', Kefkir Y. 🟨,
83', Tuzlacik T. ↓, Duodu C. ↑,
86', Alici B. ↓, Dikmen E. ↑,
87', Yesilyurt H. E. ↓, Thiam M. ↑,
90+7', Dikmen E. 🟨,

Preview

An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 11th and 7th in the Promotion - 1. Lig Playoffs - Quarter - finals).

Sivasspor has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Performances by Sarıyer have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

Confirmed absences for Sivasspor: Appindangoye A. (Illness) Fidan K. (Broken rib) Ozdamar S. (Leg Injury) Paluli M. (Injury) Vural A. (Suspended).

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Sivasspor has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 1:1 (averaging 0.5:0.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Sivasspor against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 1:0 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Sariyer	12	4	4	4	14:17	-3	16
14	Sivasspor	12	2	7	3	15:18	-3	13

Last Results with these Odds

Sivasspor - the odds 2.14 are the expected chance of winning is 42.86%, but this team recently wins 100% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sivasspor
Turkish First League
13.10.26	Bandırmaspor - Sivasspor	1:1 ✺
09.10.26	Sivasspor - Pendikspor	4:1 ✺
19.09.26	Keçiörengücü - Sivasspor	1:1 ✺
13.09.26	Sivasspor - Muğlaspor	1:1 ✺
06.09.26	Antalyaspor - Sivasspor	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 TWTTW
- Sarıyer
Turkish First League
13.10.26	Sarıyer - Bodrumspor	1:4 ✺
09.10.26	Umraniyespor - Sarıyer	1:1 ✺
19.09.26	Sarıyer - Boluspor	2:1 ✺
11.09.26	Sarıyer - Bandırmaspor	1:1 ✺
05.09.26	Keçiörengücü - Sarıyer	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
07.02.26	Sarıyer - Sivasspor	1:0
13.09.25	Sivasspor - Sarıyer	1:0

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