Match Info

Superettan - Round 5

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Paskbergsvallen (Varberg)

Referee: Nehdi F. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	TV4 Play


	Varbergs BoIS		Örebro

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.3	3.5
	2.15	3.25	3
	2	3.45	3.55
	2.01	3.55	3.92
	1.96	3.56	3.66	Watch
	1.95	3.2	3.5
	1.98	3.43	3.64	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.18)	3.39 ↓ (3.4)	3.54 ↑ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Varbergs BoIS
46.5%

Draw
27.3%

Örebro
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

27.5%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

26.8%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Varbergs BoIS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Örebro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varbergs BoIS than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Örebro than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Varbergs BoIS - Örebro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ekman O. (G) 6. Silverholt O. 2. Broman G. 17. Tellgren E. 5. Hellman E. 21. Vidjeskog I. (C) 28. Sadiku E. 8. Winbo A. 7. Arlig W. 49. Borgelin S. 12. Nioule S.	75. Ojrzynski J. (G) 16. Soderstrom H. 3. Sandberg V. (C) 32. Stenberg J. 11. Redenstrand C. 6. Ibrahimbegovic E. 5. Ortmark J. 18. Hrastovina E. 9. Yakoub A. 14. Dana H. 99. Yasin A.
Substitutes
9. Bitiqi A. 24. Bryneus O. 22. Dahlstrom N. 15. Johansson N. 18. Lindner J. 19. Nilsson J. 29. Strindholm D. (G) 16. Thorsson A. 3. Zackrisson H.	15. Astvald L. 22. Bovalina G. 23. Dickson K. 2. Ghasem A. 17. Holmberg K. 30. Runheim B. (G) 21. Wahlstrom F. 28. Wowoah M. 45. Zeljkovic A.
Coaches
Salwen V.	Norling R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Yakoub A. 🟨,
45+8', Hellman E. ↓, Dahlstrom N. ↑,
45+8', Silverholt O. ↓, Lindner J. ↑,
45+10', Vidjeskog I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', Soderstrom H. 🟨,
70', Vidjeskog I. ↓, Johansson N. ↑,
71', Dana H. ↓, Holmberg K. ↑,
71', Hrastovina E. ↓, Bovalina G. ↑,
79', Nioule S. ↓, Bryneus O. ↑,
79', Borgelin S. ↓, Bitiqi A. ↑,
88', Ibrahimbegovic E. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Allsvenskan (Promotion: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Varberg won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Varberg could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Varberg won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:16. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Varberg won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1.4:1).

Outrights of Swedish Superettan for now

Varberg: 0.34%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Varberg	25	13	5	7	44:33	11	44
14	Orebro	25	5	9	11	27:39	-12	24

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Varbergs BoIS
Swedish Superettan
26.04.26	Brage - Varbergs BoIS	2:2 ✺
18.04.26	Varbergs BoIS - United Nordic	4:1 ✺
12.04.26	Sandviken - Varbergs BoIS	2:2 ✺
06.04.26	Varbergs BoIS - Östersund	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
28.03.26	Hässleholm - Varbergs BoIS	0:1
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TWTLW
- Örebro SK
Swedish Superettan
25.04.26	Örebro - Norrby	1:1 ✺
21.04.26	Örebro - Norrköping	2:1 ✺
11.04.26	Öster - Örebro	0:0 ✺
06.04.26	Örebro - Landskrona	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
28.03.26	AIK - Örebro	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 TWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
24.09.25	Örebro - Varbergs BoIS	1:1
07.04.25	Varbergs BoIS - Örebro	2:1
05.10.24	Varbergs BoIS - Örebro	1:1
22.04.24	Örebro - Varbergs BoIS	3:1
Swedish Allsvenskan
13.09.21	Örebro - Varbergs BoIS	0:3
16.08.21	Varbergs BoIS - Örebro	1:0
23.08.20	Varbergs BoIS - Örebro	2:1

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