Match Info

NORWAY: Division 2 - Group 1 - Round 17

Date: 16 August 2024, Friday

Location: Haugesund Stadion (Haugesund)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	Direkte Sport, TV2 Play


	Vard Haugesund		Ørn-Horten

	1	X	2
	1.87	3.7	3.1
	1.9	4	3.2
	2.02	4.01	3.06
	1.96	4.02	3.05	Watch
	1.91	3.7	3.31
	1.9	4	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.81)	3.91 ↑ (3.86)	3.15 ↓ (3.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vard Haugesund
47.5%

Draw
23.4%

Ørn-Horten
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.9%

23.8%

25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8%

22.9%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vard Haugesund has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Ørn-Horten has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vard Haugesund than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vard Haugesund, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ørn-Horten than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Vard Haugesund - Ørn Horten Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Strand S. (G) 18. Apeland K. 8. Bjornebye T. 5. Dobosz A. 11. Dvergsdal T. 19. Eide A. 20. Ekrene A. 6. Harvey A. 21. Jensen J. 7. Jensen S. (C) 9. Olufsen J.	1. Solberg K. (G) 4. Forsund A. (C) 19. Hamde D. 8. Knutsen T. 7. Lindquist Ch. 18. Nilsen N. 21. Ottesen M. 5. Pop S. 3. Riise N. 24. Schie P. 28. Werni S.
Substitutes
23. Bergjord T. 24. Emberland D. B. (G) 17. Fauskanger P. 14. Osdautaj D. 12. Shala E. 30. Soderlund A. 22. Tjoland M.	11. Helling G. 10. Kadriu A. 14. Krawiec A. 2. Nilsen S. 27. Skulstad-Hansen E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
25', 1 - 0, Olufsen J. ⚽,
32', 1 - 1, Knutsen T. ⚽,
36', 1 - 2, Werni S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
61', Schie P. 🟨,
67', Bjornebye T. 🟨,
75', Riise N. 🟨,
79', 2 - 2, Soderlund A. ⚽,
90', 2 - 3, Krawiec A. ⚽,
90+3', 2 - 4, Knutsen T. ⚽,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 6 and 12 in the zone Relegation).

Vard Haugesund is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Ørn-Horten is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Vard Haugesund is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Vard Haugesund to win the game is with odds 1.8.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Vard Haugesund won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Vard Haugesund won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vard Haugesund
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
10.08.24	Flekkerøy - Vard Haugesund	2:3 ✺
14.07.24	Vard Haugesund - Brattvåg	1:3 ✺
08.07.24	Viking 2 - Vard Haugesund	1:3 ✺
29.06.24	Vard Haugesund - Flekkerøy	2:0 ✺
23.06.24	Ørn-Horten - Vard Haugesund	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 WLWWW
- Ørn-Horten
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
11.08.24	Ørn-Horten - Notodden	0:0 ✺
13.07.24	Lysekloster - Ørn-Horten	1:0 ✺
06.07.24	Ørn-Horten - Arendal	1:1 ✺
29.06.24	Kvik Halden - Ørn-Horten	1:0 ✺
23.06.24	Ørn-Horten - Vard Haugesund	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
23.06.24	Ørn-Horten - Vard Haugesund	0:2
23.09.23	Vard Haugesund - Ørn-Horten	2:2
15.04.23	Ørn-Horten - Vard Haugesund	3:0
17.09.22	Ørn-Horten - Vard Haugesund	1:1
30.04.22	Vard Haugesund - Ørn-Horten	2:0

Vard Haugesund - Ørn-Horten: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide