Match Info

NORWAY: Division 2 - Group 1 - Round 16

Date: 11 August 2024, Sunday

Location: Lystlunden Stadion (Horten)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	Direkte Sport, TV2 Play


	Ørn-Horten		Notodden

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.5	2.8
	2.1	3.75	2.9
	1.95	3.65	3.33
	2.14	3.67	2.88	Watch
	1.91	4.2	2.9
	2.12	3.6	2.88
	2.1	3.75	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.3)	3.73 ↓ (4)	2.94 ↑ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ørn-Horten
44.5%

Draw
24.5%

Notodden
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.8%

22.3%

38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9%

21.7%

37.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ørn-Horten has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ørn-Horten's performance.

Notodden has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Notodden might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ørn-Horten than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Notodden than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Notodden could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ørn Horten - Notodden Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Solberg K. (G) 4. Forsund A. (C) 11. Helling G. 10. Kadriu A. 8. Knutsen T. 7. Lindquist Ch. 18. Nilsen N. 2. Nilsen S. 5. Pop S. 24. Schie P. 28. Werni S.	1. Midtlyng T. (G) 37. Bratvold S. 4. Hammerli J. (C) 17. Holthe J. 5. Jabari S. R. M. 8. Jorgensen S. 18. Kyvik L. 6. Larsen S. 20. Sissoko D. 10. Skjold A. 3. Ullenes P.
Substitutes
15. Auby J. 25. Bamenye F. 19. Hamde D. 14. Krawiec A. 12. Lille T. (G) 21. Ottesen M. 3. Riise N. 27. Skulstad-Hansen E. 20. Winge P.	12. Bergesen J. (G) 15. Haug H. 16. Ryste A. 19. Svarstad S. 24. Telle T. 26. Tobiassen B. 7. Ulsnes J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Kyvik L. 🟨,
42', Kyvik L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
64', Bratvold S. ↓, Ryste A. ↑,
64', Nilsen S. ↓, Riise N. ↑,
71', Holthe J. ↓, Telle T. ↑,
71', Skjold A. ↓, Svarstad S. ↑,
77', Schie P. ↓, Krawiec A. ↑,
77', Kadriu A. ↓, Auby J. ↑,
83', Helling G. ↓, Winge P. ↑,
84', Sissoko D. ↓, Ulsnes J. ↑,
86', Werni S. 🟨,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ørn-Horten won 2.

Ørn-Horten has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Notodden is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ørn-Horten will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Ørn-Horten won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 14-22.

Including matches at home between the teams Ørn-Horten won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ørn-Horten
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
13.07.24	Lysekloster - Ørn-Horten	1:0 ✺
06.07.24	Ørn-Horten - Arendal	1:1 ✺
29.06.24	Kvik Halden - Ørn-Horten	1:0 ✺
23.06.24	Ørn-Horten - Vard Haugesund	0:2 ✺
15.06.24	Sotra - Ørn-Horten	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LTLLL
- Notodden
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
13.07.24	Notodden - Arendal	0:1 ✺
06.07.24	Eik-Tønsberg - Notodden	1:2 ✺
29.06.24	Notodden - Jerv	0:1 ✺
22.06.24	Brann 2 - Notodden	1:2 ✺
15.06.24	Notodden - Hødd	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
25.05.24	Notodden - Ørn-Horten	2:2
28.10.23	Ørn-Horten - Notodden	4:0
10.04.23	Notodden - Ørn-Horten	4:0
16.07.22	Notodden - Ørn-Horten	2:0
07.05.22	Ørn-Horten - Notodden	1:0
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 4
24.09.16	Ørn-Horten - Notodden	2:4
05.06.16	Notodden - Ørn-Horten	7:3

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