Match Info

1. MFL - Round 23

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday


	Vardar		AP Brera Strumica

	1	X	2
	1.15	6.3	12.5
	1.14	6.38	14.94
	1.13	7.47	13.93	Watch
	1.15	6.5	13
	1.11	7.6	12.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.14 ↑ (1.12)	6.85 ↓ (7.94)	13.31 ↓ (15.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vardar
79.9%

Draw
13.3%

AP Brera Strumica
6.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

82.3%

11.6%

6.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vardar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

AP Brera Strumica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Vardar - AP Brera Strumica Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Kjosevski V. (G) 6. Babunski D. 32. Castaneda D. 26. Cvetkovic S. 27. Cvetkovski F. 21. Jankulov G. 4. Matic M. 8. Nikolov B. 9. Omeragic A. (C) 22. Todorovski D. 14. Velkovski D.	90. Dikovski D. (G) 32. Antovski F. (C) 33. Arizankoski A. 26. Doshev G. 20. Ivanovski Z. 21. Lukovic L. 7. Petrovic L. 24. Stojilevski M. 8. Todorov M. 9. Velickovski N. 23. Velkoski V.
Substitutes
88. Bosancic N. 7. Danev D. 23. Duranski F. 18. Mishkovski N. 5. Najdovski F. 29. Olaosebikan I. 17. Spahiu E. 19. Talevski M. 99. Torres J. 1. Velkovski M. (G) 10. Zakaric G.	28. Hassan W. 12. Iloski D. (G) 25. Kouakou K. Y. 88. Makic E. 22. Mihailov F. 10. Stojanov K. 3. Velkov A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', Todorovski D. ↓, Bosancic N. ↑,
59', Castaneda D. ↓, Torres J. ↑,
59', Babunski D. ↓, Zakaric G. ↑,
66', Velickovski N. ↓, Makic E. ↑,
72', Cvetkovic S. ↓, Danev D. ↑,
77', Ivanovski Z. ↓, Mihailov F. ↑,
77', Todorov M. ↓, Velkov A. ↑,
81', Nikolov B. ↓, Spahiu E. ↑,
86', Petrovic L. ↓, Stojanov K. ↑,
90+7', 1 - 0, Zakaric G. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vardar won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Brera Strumica may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Vardar is the clear favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vardar won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 24:16. (average 1.2:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Vardar won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:4. (average 1.6:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Vardar	8	4	2	2	14:8	6	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Vardar
North Macedonian 1 MFL
09.03.26	Sileks - Vardar	0:1 ✺
05.03.26	Vardar - Shkendija Tetovo	0:1 ✺
28.02.26	Struga - Vardar	1:1 ✺
North Macedonian Cup
24.02.26	Vardar - Ohrid	1:2 penalties ✺
North Macedonian 1 MFL
21.02.26	Vardar - Bashkimi Kumanovo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLTLW
- AP Brera Strumica
North Macedonian 1 MFL
09.03.26	Shkendija Tetovo - AP Brera Strumica	1:1 ✺
03.03.26	AP Brera Strumica - Struga	0:0 ✺
27.02.26	Bashkimi Kumanovo - AP Brera Strumica	0:2 ✺
20.02.26	AP Brera Strumica - Rabotnički	3:4 ✺
16.02.26	Arsimi - AP Brera Strumica	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 32.9 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

North Macedonian 1 MFL
22.11.25	AP Brera Strumica - Vardar	0:2
22.08.25	Vardar - AP Brera Strumica	2:2
North Macedonian Cup
23.04.25	AP Brera Strumica - Vardar	1:1
09.04.25	Vardar - AP Brera Strumica	3:0
North Macedonian 1 MFL
06.04.25	AP Brera Strumica - Vardar	0:2
30.10.24	Vardar - AP Brera Strumica	0:1
11.08.24	AP Brera Strumica - Vardar	3:1

Vardar - AP Brera Strumica: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide