Match Info

1. MFL - Round 1

Date: 8 August 2025, Friday


	Vardar		Pelister

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.33	8.25	Watch
	1.31	4.25	8.8
	1.25	4.66	11.49
	1.37	4.64	7.38	Watch
	1.25	4.75	10
	1.37	4.6	6.58
	1.62	3.6	4.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.62)	4.4 ↑ (3.6)	8.19 ↑ (4.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vardar
67.9%

Draw
20.9%

Pelister
11.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56%

25.2%

18.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vardar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vardar's performance.

Pelister has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pelister might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	0%	72.7%

Vardar - Pelister Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Vardar will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Pelister will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pelister: 46.4% – 99%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Vardar (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Pelister (votes: 5 - 55.6%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - draw (10.48) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

AH -1 - Vardar (1.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH -1 - Vardar (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Vardar (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Pelister (votes: 5 - 45.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
95. Taleski D. (G) 88. Bosancic N. 11. Danev D. 7. Dongmo D. 21. Jankulov G. 3. Manevski M. 4. Matic M. 47. Mato R. 9. Omeragikj A. 75. Senghor F. 10. Zakaric G. (C)	1. Jovcevski A. (G) 23. Belic D. 11. Boskovski F. 28. Bulatovic L. 44. Ivanovski M. (C) 4. Ristevski A. 9. Ristic P. 14. Ristovski M. 10. Spirovski S. 15. Stojanovski H. 5. Zdravkovic N.
Substitutes
32. Castaneda D. 23. Duranski F. 31. Markovski I. 18. Mishkovski N. 5. Najdovski F. 29. Olaosebikan I. 17. Spahiu E. 19. Talevski M. 8. Tchimbembe W. 22. Todorovski D. 1. Velkovski M. (G)	17. Angelevski D. 90. Dimovski N. (G) 6. Grozdanovski H. 2. Ivanovski S. 7. Kerim V. 21. Krstevski G. 34. Milenkovski F. 24. Naumoski J. 13. Siljanovski A. 27. Todoroski F. 30. Zdravevski B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+2', 1 - 0, Danev D. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', 🟨,
50', 2 - 0, Mato R. ⚽,
65', 2 - 1, ⚽,
73', 🟨,
76', 🟨,
77', 🟨,
80', 3 - 1, ⚽,
90+1', 4 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vardar won 2.

Vardar is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In this match, Vardar is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vardar won 9 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 24:17. (average 1.2:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Vardar won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:8. (average 1.3:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Vardar
UEFA Europa Conference League
31.07.25	Lausanne-Sport - Vardar	5:0 ✺
24.07.25	Vardar - Lausanne-Sport	2:1 ✺
17.07.25	La Fiorita - Vardar	2:2 ✺
10.07.25	Vardar - La Fiorita	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
24.06.25	Rapid Bucureşti - Vardar	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 LWTWW
- FK Pelister
Club Friendly
31.07.25	Pelister - KF 2 Korriku	1:0 ✺
22.07.25	Makedonija Gjorče Petrov - Pelister	2:1 ✺
12.07.25	Pelister - Struga	1:3 ✺
North Macedonian 1 MFL
17.05.25	Pelister - Besa Dobërdoll	1:4 ✺
11.05.25	Sileks - Pelister	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

North Macedonian 1 MFL
29.03.25	Pelister - Vardar	1:3
03.11.24	Pelister - Vardar	1:0
18.08.24	Vardar - Pelister	1:0
North Macedonian 2 MFL
03.12.22	Pelister - Vardar	2:2
North Macedonian Cup
15.12.21	Pelister - Vardar	0:0
North Macedonian 1 MFL
04.04.21	Pelister - Vardar	2:0
21.02.21	Vardar - Pelister	2:2

Vardar - Pelister: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide