Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - 1/8-finals

Date: 17 July 2025, Thursday

Location: San Marino Stadium (Serravalle)

Referee: Jones A. (Wal)


	La Fiorita		Vardar

	1	X	2
	7.5	3.8	1.38	Watch
	6.25	4.33	1.43
	7.5	4.3	1.4	Watch
	10.79	4.25	1.35
	3.30	2.73	2.49	Watch
	7	4	1.44
	8.15	4.24	1.46	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.21 ↓ (12.5)	3.95 ↓ (5.03)	1.56 ↑ (1.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

La Fiorita
13.4%

Draw
24.6%

Vardar
62%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

7.4%

18.5%

74.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

La Fiorita has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in La Fiorita's performance.

Vardar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vardar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.7%	6.2%	75%

La Fiorita - Vardar Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. La Fiorita will win (votes: 3 - 20%). Vardar will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vardar: 50.9% – 95.7%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - La Fiorita (5.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - La Fiorita (2.55) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DNB - La Fiorita (4.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Vardar will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. La Fiorita (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Vardar (votes: 3 - 37.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Vivan G. (C) 2. Musiani M. 16. Drudi M. 32. Grandoni A. 33. Zafferani T. 21. Baldinini F. 20. Cicarelli D. 4. Zaccaria G. 46. Riccardi A. 17. Felipe J. 94. Vivacqua F.	95. Taleski D. (G) 21. Jankulov G. 4. Matic M. 18. Mishkovski N. 3. Manevski M. 88. Bosancic N. 29. Olaosebikan I. 7. Dongmo D. 22. Todorovski D. 10. Zakaric G. (C) 9. Omeragikj A.
Substitutes
29. Cerchiaro A. 23. Dormi L. 10. Guidi A. 8. Lunadei L. 5. Mazzotti M. 13. Prasso N. 6. Santi F. 11. Semprini J. 14. Spadaccino R. 30. Toccaceli A. 1. Zavoli M. (G)	32. Castaneda D. 27. Cuestas M. 14. Cvetkov G. 11. Danev D. 23. Duranski F. 47. Mato R. 20. Nikolovski K. 75. Senghor F. 17. Spahiu E. 19. Talevski M. 1. Velkovski M. (G)
Coaches
Ceci S.	Sedloski G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Felipe J. (Pen),
18', Vivacqua F. 🟨,
43', Zakaric G. 🟨,
43', Zaccaria G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Zakaric G. ↓, Danev D. ↑,
46', Dongmo D. ↓, Mato R. ↑,
46', Todorovski D. ↓, Castaneda D. ↑,
55', Bosancic N. 🟨,
55', Musiani M. 🟨,
59', 1 - 1, Mato R. (Pen),
65', Felipe J. ↓, Dormi L. ↑,
65', Zafferani T. ↓, Toccaceli A. ↑,
66', Vivacqua F. ↓, Guidi A. ↑,
73', Bosancic N. ↓, Duranski F. ↑,
84', 1 - 2, Omeragikj A. ⚽, Castaneda D. (A),
85', Cicarelli D. ↓, Prasso N. ↑,
87', Olaosebikan I. ↓, Spahiu E. ↑,
90+1', Riccardi A. ↓, Spadaccino R. ↑,
90+3', 2 - 2, Jankulov G. (Own goal),

Preview

1st leg result: 0-3. 2nd leg.

In this match, Vardar is the obvious favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, La Fiorita won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- La Fiorita
UEFA Europa Conference League
10.07.25	Vardar - La Fiorita	3:0 ✺
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
17.05.25	La Fiorita - Tre Fiori	1:0 ✺
13.05.25	Cosmos - La Fiorita	0:0 ✺
10.05.25	La Fiorita - Cosmos	0:0 ✺
07.05.25	Faetano - La Fiorita	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LWTTW
- FK Vardar
UEFA Europa Conference League
10.07.25	Vardar - La Fiorita	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
24.06.25	Rapid Bucureşti - Vardar	0:1 ✺
21.06.25	Olimpija Ljubljana - Vardar	2:0 ✺
North Macedonian Cup
21.05.25	Vardar - Struga	2:0 ✺
North Macedonian 1 MFL
11.05.25	Rabotnički - Vardar	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
10.07.25	Vardar - La Fiorita	3:0

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