Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP A - ROUND 13

Date: 12 November 2023, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Varese		PDHAE

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.4	4.8
	1.8	3.16	4.3
	1.8	3.16	4.3
	1.67	3.3	4.75
	1.75	3.25	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.61)	3.25 ↓ (3.44)	4.53 ↓ (5.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Varese
52.3%

Draw
27.8%

PDHAE
19.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

56.3%

26.4%

17.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

20.2%

22.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Varese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

PDHAE has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varese than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Varese that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for PDHAE than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 9 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Città di Varese is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

PDHAE is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Città di Varese is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Città di Varese won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Città di Varese won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Varese FC
Italian Serie D - Group A
05.11.23	Ligorna - Varese	1:1 ✺
01.11.23	Varese - Alba	1:0 ✺
29.10.23	Chieri - Varese	2:1 ✺
22.10.23	Varese - Fezzanese	0:1 ✺
15.10.23	Varese - Albenga	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TWLLT
- PDHAE
Italian Serie D - Group A
05.11.23	PDHAE - Asti	0:3 ✺
01.11.23	Albenga - PDHAE	1:0 ✺
29.10.23	PDHAE - Borgosesia	1:0 ✺
22.10.23	Vado - PDHAE	2:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
18.10.23	Asti - PDHAE	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group A
15.05.22	PDHAE - Varese	1:2
20.03.22	Varese - PDHAE	1:2
21.02.21	PDHAE - Varese	2:2
14.10.20	Varese - PDHAE	0:1

Varese - PDHAE

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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