The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Varesina 56.3%
Draw 23.6%
Legnano 20.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
59.7%
22.1%
18.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61.8%
21.3%
17.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Varesina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
Legnano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varesina than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Varesina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Legnano than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
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Preview
This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group B (Play Offs: ) and 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: )).
Varesina is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recent matches Legnano is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Legnano could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Varesina is a favorite.
Our prediction for today's Varesina to win the game is with odds 1.51.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Varesina won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.
Including matches at home between the teams Varesina won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.