Match Info

Serie D - Group B - Round 33

Date: 30 March 2025, Sunday


	Crema		Varesina

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.25	1.87
	4.1	3.5	1.75
	4.12	3.6	1.73
	4.1	3.5	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.98 ↑ (3.24)	3.46 ↑ (3.23)	1.78 ↓ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crema
22.8%

Draw
26.2%

Varesina
51.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.1%

43.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.2%

43.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crema has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Crema's form might have worsened.

Varesina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Varesina's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crema than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Crema, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varesina than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Varesina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Crema - Varesina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Pirola D. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', 1 - 1, Akammadu F. ⚽,
48', 2 - 1, Pavesi R. ⚽,
79', 2 - 2, Rosa S. ⚽,
90+7', 🟥,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group B (Play Offs: )).

Recent matches Crema is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Varesina is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Varesina will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Crema won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2:8 (average 0.7:2.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Crema won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Crema
Italian Serie D - Group B
23.03.25	SantAngelo - Crema	3:0 ✺
09.03.25	Crema - Breno	6:1 ✺
02.03.25	Chievo - Crema	0:2 ✺
23.02.25	Crema - Pro Palazzolo	1:2 ✺
16.02.25	Sangiuliano City Nova - Crema	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 LWWLT
- ASD Varesina
Italian Serie D - Group B
23.03.25	Varesina - Ciliverghe di Mazzano	5:2 ✺
09.03.25	Ospitaletto - Varesina	1:3 ✺
02.03.25	Varesina - Club Milano	1:0 ✺
23.02.25	Folgore Caratese - Varesina	2:0 ✺
16.02.25	Varesina - Pro Sesto	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group B
17.11.24	Varesina - Crema	5:2
24.03.24	Varesina - Crema	2:0
12.11.23	Crema - Varesina	0:1

Crema - Varesina: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide