Match Info
Serie D - Group D - Round 6Date: 4 October 2026, Sunday
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 |
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Varesina |
|
Pro Patria |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
3.70 |
3.40 |
1.78 |
|
 |
3.80 |
3.40 |
1.75 |
|
 |
3.60 |
3.46 |
1.83 |
|
 |
4.25 |
3.63 |
1.72 |
 Watch |
 |
3.55 |
3.40 |
1.81 |
|
 |
3.76 |
3.55 |
1.92 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.78 ↓
(4.5) |
3.47 ↓
(3.5) |
1.8 ↑
(1.62) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Varesina
23.9% | Draw
26% | Pro Patria
50.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Varesina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)Pro Patria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varesina than the current prediction. (-4.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pro Patria than the current prediction. (+6.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pro Patria could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Varesina - Pro Patria Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 14th and 3rd in the Promotion - Serie D - Group D Playoffs).Varesina is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).Pro Patria shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).Varesina may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.Recently, Pro Patria has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures. Pro Patria carries the favorite tag into this contest.In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Varesina has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 0:2.Specifically in home fixtures for Varesina against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 0:2 goals.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 3 | Pro Patria | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10:4 | 6 | 13 |
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| 12 | Varesina | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 5 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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