Match Info

Serie D - Group D - Round 5

Date: 27 September 2026, Sunday


	Casatese		Varesina

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.25	3.25
	2.01	3.37	3.35	Watch
	1.93	3.15	3.25
	2.01	3.22	3.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.01)	3.25 ↓ (3.3)	3.3 ↓ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Casatese
45.2%

Draw
27.6%

Varesina
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.6%

27.8%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Casatese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Varesina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Casatese - Varesina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
26', 0 - 1, ⚽,
26', 1 - 1, ⚽,
45+3', 2 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
63', 2 - 2, ⚽,
75', 3 - 2, ⚽,
90', 4 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Casatese won 1.

Varesina may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Casatese is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Casatese has recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 10:11 (averaging 1.4:1.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Casatese against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 5:5 goals (averaging 1.7:1.7 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	USD Casatese	6	3	1	2	10:9	1	10
12	Varesina	6	1	2	3	7:10	-3	5

Last Results with these Odds

Casatese - the odds 2.01 are the expected chance of winning is 45.63%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USD Casatese
Italian Serie D - Group D
20.09.26	Correggese - Casatese	1:3 ✺
16.09.26	Casatese - SantAngelo	1:2 ✺
12.09.26	Solbiatese - Casatese	0:0 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group B
17.05.26	Casatese - Chievo	2:3 ET ✺
10.05.26	Casatese - Leon	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLTLW
- ASD Varesina
Italian Serie D - Group D
20.09.26	Varesina - Pistoiese	0:1 ✺
16.09.26	Correggese - Varesina	2:1 ✺
13.09.26	SantAngelo - Varesina	1:1 ✺
06.09.26	Varesina - Cittadella Vis Modena	3:2 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group B
10.05.26	Castellanzese - Varesina	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group B
22.03.26	Casatese - Varesina	0:1
09.11.25	Varesina - Casatese	0:0
17.04.25	Varesina - Casatese	2:3
27.01.24	Varesina - Casatese	4:1
01.10.23	Casatese - Varesina	2:3
16.04.23	Casatese - Varesina	3:1
04.12.22	Varesina - Casatese	0:1

Casatese - Varesina: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide