Match Info

Liga 3 - Round 23

Date: 16 October 2025, Thursday


	Varketili		Bakhmaro Chokhatauri

	1	X	2
	1.20	5.83	11.68	Watch
	1.18	6.44	12.4
	1.33	4.5	6.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↓ (1.37)	5.59 ↑ (5)	10.14 ↑ (5.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Varketili
74.4%

Draw
16.5%

Bakhmaro Chokhatauri
9.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66%

18.1%

15.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.6%

16.9%

14.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Varketili has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Varketili's performance.

Bakhmaro Chokhatauri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bakhmaro Chokhatauri might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varketili than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bakhmaro Chokhatauri than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bakhmaro Chokhatauri could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Varketili - Bakhmaro Chokhatauri Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2 - Varketili (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Varketili (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
33', 1 - 0, Khabelashvili I. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 (Promotion: ) and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Varketili is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Bakhmaro is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Varketili may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Varketili is the undisputed favorite.

We predict that Varketili will win today's game, with odds of 1.36.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Varketili
Georgian Liga 3
09.10.25	Borjomi - Varketili	0:1 ✺
02.10.25	Varketili - Odishi 1919	0:0 ✺
25.09.25	Varketili - Gardabani	4:0 ✺
18.09.25	Lokomotivi Tbilisi 2 - Varketili	2:3 ✺
12.09.25	Varketili - Betlemi Keda	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WTWWW
- FC Bakhmaro Chokhatauri
Georgian Liga 3
02.10.25	Lokomotivi Tbilisi 2 - Bakhmaro Chokhatauri	0:0 ✺
25.09.25	Bakhmaro Chokhatauri - Betlemi Keda	0:4 ✺
12.09.25	Bakhmaro Chokhatauri - Gori	0:0 ✺
05.09.25	Orbi - Bakhmaro Chokhatauri	1:0 ✺
27.08.25	Bakhmaro Chokhatauri - Kolkheti Khobi	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 TLTLL

Varketili - Bakhmaro Chokhatauri: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide