Match Info

CZECH REPUBLIC: FNL - ROUND 18

Date: 10 March 2024, Sunday

Location: Mestsky stadion v Kotline (Varnsdorf)

Referee: Batik T. (Cze)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Sporttotal.cz


	Varnsdorf		Dukla Prague

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.5	2.25
	2.7	3.4	2.15
	2.7	3.5	2.25
	2.71	3.66	2.4
	2.72	3.66	2.4
	2.63	3.48	2.28	Watch
	2.85	3.6	2.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↓ (3.53)	3.54 ↑ (3.29)	2.29 ↑ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Varnsdorf
33.8%

Draw
25.9%

Dukla Prague
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.1%

28%

45.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30%

24.4%

39.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Varnsdorf has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Varnsdorf's performance.

Dukla Prague has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dukla Prague might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varnsdorf than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dukla Prague than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Varnsdorf - Dukla Prague Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Vanak M. (G) 8. Ambler M. 22. Kouril M. 9. Kriz D. 21. Kubista M. 15. Polyak T. 19. Rudnytskyy P. (C) 10. Samko D. 12. Stransky V. 13. Vojta M. 20. Zalesak R.	29. Stovicek J. (G) 11. Doudera M. 18. Hasek D. 8. Helesic M. 16. Hora J. 23. Kozel D. 39. Kozma D. 9. Mesanovic M. 10. Moulis P. 7. Peterka J. (C) 17. Vondrasek T.
Substitutes
7. Dufek L. 14. Gembicky D. 5. Kosar J. 3. Omon S. 1. Pesl L. (G) 23. Podzimek O. 6. Vlk M.	28. Buchvaldek L. 14. Hrubes J. 25. Jerabek J. . Lehky F. 2. Ludvicek D. 1. Rada F. (G) 27. Zeronik J.
Coaches
Holenak M.	Rada P.

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ FORTUNA:LIGA (Promotion: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Varnsdorf won 1.

Varnsdorf is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Dukla Prague is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Dukla Prague could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Dukla Prague have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Varnsdorf won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 23-38.

Including matches at home between the teams Varnsdorf won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Varnsdorf
Czech Division 2
02.03.24	Vlašim - Varnsdorf	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
24.02.24	Arsenal Česká Lípa - Varnsdorf	0:3 ✺
16.02.24	Varnsdorf - Ústí nad Labem	4:1 ✺
31.01.24	Varnsdorf - Slovan Liberec B	6:1 ✺
Czech Tipsport Liga
27.01.24	Chrudim - Varnsdorf	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TWWWL
- Dukla Prague
Czech Division 2
02.03.24	Dukla Prague - Zbrojovka Brno	3:3 ✺
Czech Cup
25.02.24	Opava - Dukla Prague	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
10.02.24	Chrudim - Dukla Prague	2:2 ✺
04.02.24	Teplice - Dukla Prague	5:0 ✺
03.02.24	Liefering - Dukla Prague	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TLTL?

Latest Head to Head

Czech Division 2
06.08.23	Dukla Prague - Varnsdorf	4:3
04.04.23	Varnsdorf - Dukla Prague	2:4
08.09.22	Dukla Prague - Varnsdorf	1:1
23.04.22	Dukla Prague - Varnsdorf	0:1
17.10.21	Varnsdorf - Dukla Prague	1:3
Club Friendly
10.07.21	Dukla Prague - Varnsdorf	4:2
Czech Division 2
10.04.21	Dukla Prague - Varnsdorf	1:2

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