Match Info

Chance Liga - Relegation Group - Round 4

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday

Location: AGC Arena Na Stinadlech (Teplice)

Referee: Berka O. (Cze)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 1


	Teplice		Dukla Prague

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.1	2.45	Watch
	2.78	3.15	2.45
	2.94	3.2	2.53
	2.89	3.07	2.51
	2.88	2.9	2.5
	2.87	3.13	2.47	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↑ (2)	3.09 ↓ (3.15)	2.49 ↓ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Teplice
32.6%

Draw
30%

Dukla Prague
37.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.3%

29.4%

24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

27.9%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Teplice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Teplice's form might have worsened.

Dukla Prague has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dukla Prague's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Teplice than the current prediction. (+16.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Teplice, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dukla Prague than the current prediction. (-14.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dukla Prague, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	20%	40%

Teplice - Dukla Prague Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Teplice will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Dukla Prague will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Dukla Prague (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Dukla Prague (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Trmal M. (G) 23. Marecek L. 17. Halinsky D. 28. Vecerka D. 3. Svanda J. 16. Kodes P. 6. Bilek M. (C) 35. Radosta M. 37. Marecek D. 7. Zlatohlavek T. 11. Kozak M.	59. Backovsky H. (G) 39. Kozma D. (C) 4. Hunal E. 22. Traore M. 37. Pourzitidis M. 14. Tijani S. 5. Velasquez D. 10. Mikus R. 15. Gilbert D. 19. Cermak M. 11. Milla K.
Substitutes
34. Audinis N. 8. Fortelny J. 18. Fully E. 21. Hopi I. 5. Jakubko J. 31. Lichtenberg K. (G) 33. Ludha R. (G) 12. Naprstek M. 10. Pulkrab M. 25. Riznic M. 22. Takacs L.	8. Gaszczyk P. 25. Hanousek Mar. 18. Hasek D. 31. Jagrik A. (G) 47. Kreiker D. 17. Pekhart T. 6. Penxa L. 3. Sehovic Z. 23. Svozil J. 28. Unusic B. 20. Zitny M.
Coaches
Frtala Z.	Sustr P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2', Trmal M. 🟨,
32', Svanda J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Svanda J. ↓, Riznic M. ↑,
46', Kodes P. ↓, Naprstek M. ↑,
60', Mikus R. ↓, Kreiker D. ↑,
60', Marecek D. ↓, Fortelny J. ↑,
61', Kozak M. ↓, Hopi I. ↑,
65', Milla K. 🟥,
70', Kozma D. 🟨,
74', 1 - 0, Fortelny J. ⚽,
83', Tijani S. ↓, Hasek D. ↑,
83', Traore M. ↓, Pekhart T. ↑,
86', Naprstek M. 🟨,
87', Zlatohlavek T. ↓, Audinis N. ↑,
89', Hunal E. 🟥,
90', Gilbert D. ↓, Penxa L. ↑,
90+5', 2 - 0, Hopi I. ⚽, Radosta M. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Teplice won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Teplice: Danihel D. (Injury) Harustak J. (Injury) Krejci L. (Ankle Injury) Nyarko B. (Red Card) Zlatohlavek T. (Injury)

There will not play in Dukla Prague: Cisse N. (Injury) Kadak J. (Knee Injury) Penxa L. (Injury)

There are questionable in Teplice: Auta J. (Inactive) Marecek D. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Teplice won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 36:35. (average 1.8:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Teplice won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 25:18. (average 2.1:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Teplice	9	5	1	3	17:15	2	16

Last Results with these Odds

Teplice - the odds 2 are the expected chance of winning is 46.27%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Teplice
Czech 1 Liga
12.05.26	Zlín - Teplice	2:4 ✺
09.05.26	Teplice - Baník Ostrava	2:1 ✺
03.05.26	Teplice - Slovácko	1:1 ✺
25.04.26	Teplice - Hradec Králové	0:1 ✺
18.04.26	Zlín - Teplice	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWTLL
- Dukla Prague
Czech 1 Liga
12.05.26	Mladá Boleslav - Dukla Prague	1:2 ✺
09.05.26	Dukla Prague - Slovácko	0:1 ✺
02.05.26	Zlín - Dukla Prague	2:1 ✺
25.04.26	Slovácko - Dukla Prague	1:2 ✺
18.04.26	Dukla Prague - Karviná	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Czech 1 Liga
07.03.26	Teplice - Dukla Prague	0:0
04.10.25	Dukla Prague - Teplice	1:3
27.04.25	Teplice - Dukla Prague	2:2
08.03.25	Dukla Prague - Teplice	1:1
05.10.24	Teplice - Dukla Prague	1:1
Club Friendly
04.02.24	Teplice - Dukla Prague	5:0
22.07.22	Dukla Prague - Teplice	4:1

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