Match Info

CZECH REPUBLIC: DIVISION 2 - ROUND 29

Date: 24 May 2023, Wednesday

Location: Mestsky stadion v Kotline (Varnsdorf)

Referee: Batik T. (Cze)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Sporttotal.cz


	Varnsdorf		Karviná

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.6	2.8	Watch
	2.15	3.4	2.75
	2.1	3.4	2.88
	2.27	3.76	2.82
	2.2	3.3	2.8
	2.19	3.7	2.78	Watch
	2.4	3.65	2.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↓ (2.38)	3.54 ↑ (3.3)	2.79 ↑ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Varnsdorf
41.5%

Draw
25.8%

Karviná
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

27.5%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3%

29.1%

32.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Varnsdorf has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Karviná has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varnsdorf than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karviná than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	30%	20%

Varnsdorf - Karviná Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Varnsdorf will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Karviná will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Varnsdorf: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 5 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Liga).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Varnsdorf won 1.

Varnsdorf is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Karviná is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Varnsdorf could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Varnsdorf won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Varnsdorf won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Varnsdorf
Czech Division 2
20.05.23	Chrudim - Varnsdorf	3:2 ✺
14.05.23	Varnsdorf - Táborsko	5:3 ✺
08.05.23	Sparta Prague B - Varnsdorf	2:0 ✺
30.04.23	Varnsdorf - Vyškov	1:3 ✺
22.04.23	Vlašim - Varnsdorf	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWLLT
- MFK Karviná
Czech Division 2
21.05.23	Karviná - Slavia Prague B	3:0 ✺
13.05.23	Dukla Prague - Karviná	0:3 ✺
07.05.23	Karviná - Prostějov	5:0 ✺
01.05.23	Opava - Karviná	2:1 ✺
23.04.23	Karviná - Artis Brno	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Czech Division 2
04.11.22	Karviná - Varnsdorf	1:0
28.05.16	Varnsdorf - Karviná	2:3
26.08.15	Karviná - Varnsdorf	0:0
25.04.15	Karviná - Varnsdorf	0:0
12.10.14	Varnsdorf - Karviná	3:1
04.06.14	Karviná - Varnsdorf	1:2
28.07.13	Varnsdorf - Karviná	1:2

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