Match Info

ChNL - Round 25

Date: 27 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Mestsky stadion v Kotline (Varnsdorf)

Referee: Vokoun D. (Cze)


	Varnsdorf		Prostějov

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.4	3.7
	1.95	3.25	3.25
	1.88	3.4	3.65
	1.87	3.63	3.9
	1.9	3.57	3.86	Watch
	1.85	3.42	3.77	Watch
	1.88	3.4	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (2.28)	3.44 ↑ (3.36)	3.68 ↑ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Varnsdorf
48.6%

Draw
26.6%

Prostějov
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

27.1%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1%

26.4%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Varnsdorf has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Varnsdorf's performance.

Prostějov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Prostějov might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varnsdorf than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Varnsdorf that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Prostějov than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Prostějov could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Varnsdorf - Prostějov Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Varnsdorf will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Varnsdorf will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Vanak M. (G) 7. Dufek L. 2. Hora J. 12. Karban K. 22. Kouril M. 21. Kubista M. (C) 5. Leitl M. 16. Lexa M. 4. Osaghae S. 18. Velich O. 20. Zalesak R.	27. Mikulec P. (G) 17. Hrdlicka L. 3. Kaka 15. Lahodny L. 2. Lehovec R. 10. Matocha M. 9. Matousek J. 11. Matousek J. 19. Sevcik O. (C) 13. Sindelar M. 22. Zapletal M.
Substitutes
17. Dohalsky P. 1. Pesl L. (G) 23. Podzimek O. 19. Rudnytskyy P. 3. Suleiman A. 6. Vlk M.	25. Bartolomeu R. 26. Harustak J. 16. Jedlicka T. 70. Koudelka J. 5. Palco L. 33. Urban A. (G) 4. Vyroubal D.
Coaches
Papousek P.	Weber J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Zalesak R. ↓, Vlk M. ↑,
37', Matousek J. ↓, Jedlicka T. ↑,
40', Lahodny L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
63', Zapletal M. ↓, Bartolomeu R. ↑,
63', Hrdlicka L. ↓, Koudelka J. ↑,
64', 1 - 0, Velich O. ⚽,
76', Sindelar M. 🟨,
80', Matocha M. ↓, Palco L. ↑,
80', Matousek J. ↓, Harustak J. ↑,
85', Velich O. ↓, Podzimek O. ↑,
85', Lahodny L. 🟨,
90', Dufek L. ↓, Dohalsky P. ↑,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Varnsdorf won 2.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Varnsdorf will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Varnsdorf won 7 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 31:17 (average 2.1:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Varnsdorf won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 20:11 (average 2.9:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Varnsdorf
Czech Division 2
20.04.25	Sigma Olomouc B - Varnsdorf	0:3 ✺
16.04.25	Varnsdorf - Táborsko	1:2 ✺
12.04.25	Vyškov - Varnsdorf	2:2 ✺
06.04.25	Varnsdorf - Artis Brno	2:1 ✺
29.03.25	Chrudim - Varnsdorf	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WLTWL
- 1. Prostějov
Czech Division 2
20.04.25	Prostějov - Opava	0:0 ✺
16.04.25	Zbrojovka Brno - Prostějov	1:1 ✺
11.04.25	Prostějov - Slavia Prague B	0:0 ✺
04.04.25	Vysočina Jihlava - Prostějov	3:0 ✺
28.03.25	Prostějov - Baník Ostrava B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Czech Division 2
28.09.24	Prostějov - Varnsdorf	1:1
21.04.24	Varnsdorf - Prostějov	5:1
23.09.23	Prostějov - Varnsdorf	1:0
04.03.23	Prostějov - Varnsdorf	1:1
14.08.22	Varnsdorf - Prostějov	2:0
11.05.22	Prostějov - Varnsdorf	0:4
21.11.21	Varnsdorf - Prostějov	3:1

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