The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Varnsdorf 64.4%
Draw 19.6%
Sokol Brozany 16%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
69.3%
18.4%
12.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.1%
13%
17.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Varnsdorf has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
Sokol Brozany has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varnsdorf than the current prediction. (-15.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Varnsdorf that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sokol Brozany than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
Varnsdorf - Sokol Brozany Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Roze V. (G) 16. Ahile T. 9. Berezka D. 12. Emmer J. 17. Gavrylyuk N. 20. Kovbasa A. 24. Lopez M. 14. Matviychuk I. 5. Pinchuk Y. 2. Sokol J. 4. Tymoshenko I. (C)
1. Gothard L. (G) 15. Dieng M. 7. Houessou E. 3. Kolsky T. 12. Monyc V. 23. Rott F. 19. Spirek J. 11. Stauber A. 4. Sustr D. 5. Ulman F. (C) 22. Vokoun V.
Substitutes
15. Boryshpolets S. 18. Grafek D. 3. Hora J. 13. Hudak J. 6. Jandac L. 33. Shnurko D. (G) 11. Sirenko O.
2. Kolar P. 9. Krahula A. 14. Macodou L. 13. Majid K. 29. Maxa M. (G) 20. Pazoudka O. 21. Stajnc T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
12', 0 - 1, Vokoun V. ⚽,
20', 0 - 2, Macodou L. ⚽,
25', Matviychuk I. 🟨,
34', Emmer J. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Sokol J. ↓, Jandac L. ↑,
51', Stauber A. 🟨,
53', Rott F. 🟨,
58', Macodou L. ↓, Monyc V. ↑,
58', Stauber A. ↓, Stajnc T. ↑,
65', Kolsky T. ↓, Krahula A. ↑,
69', Berezka D. ↓, Grafek D. ↑,
73', 1 - 2, Jandac L. ⚽,
77', 2 - 2, Matviychuk I. ⚽,
86', Monyc V. ↓, Pazoudka O. ↑,
88', Sustr D. 🟨,
90', 3 - 2, Ahile T. ⚽,
90+2', Gothard L. 🟨,
Preview
Important points are at stake as a mid-tier club meets a struggling opponent (ranked 8th and 15th in the Relegation).
In recent outings, Varnsdorf has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Sokol Brozany is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
In this matchup, Varnsdorf is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Varnsdorf has recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 4:4 (averaging 1:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Varnsdorf against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 1:3 goals (averaging 0.5:1.5 per game).