Match Info

CZECH REPUBLIC: ChNL - Round 12

Date: 6 October 2024, Sunday

Location: Mestsky stadion v Kotline (Varnsdorf)

Referee: Cieslar O. (Cze)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Chnliga.tv


	Varnsdorf		Zlín

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.4	1.9
	3.25	3.3	1.93
	3.5	3.45	1.91
	3.72	3.52	2
	3.66	3.52	1.97	Watch
	3.54	3.45	1.9	Watch
	3.5	3.45	1.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.52 ↓ (4.1)	3.44 ↓ (3.53)	1.93 ↑ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Varnsdorf
26%

Draw
26.6%

Zlín
47.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.1%

25.7%

52.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.8%

25.4%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Varnsdorf has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Zlín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varnsdorf than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zlín than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zlín could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Varnsdorf - Zlín Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pesl L. (G) 14. Camara D. 7. Dufek L. 5. Kosar J. 22. Kouril M. 21. Kubista M. (C) 16. Lexa M. 11. Nykrin D. 4. Osaghae S. 8. Yuzvak A. 20. Zalesak R.	17. Dostal S. (G) 31. Bartosak L. 24. Cernin J. 6. Didiba J. 23. Kopecny M. 8. Machalik D. 19. Nombil C. 88. Poznar T. 2. Simersky D. (C) 12. Tkac D. 77. Vukadinovic V.
Substitutes
10. Babatunde T. 12. Brdicka F. 3. Firbacher F. 9. Hudak J. 2. Kubin T. 33. Lichtenberg K. (G) 15. Podzimek O. 18. Stradins D. 17. Usman H. 6. Vlk M.	9. Brandner P. 10. Buchvaldek L. 28. Kolar J. 27. Kulisek P. 11. Natchkebia Z. 79. Polášek Š. 1. Rakovan M. (G) 7. Reiter R.
Coaches
Kopecky I.	Cervenka B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', Yuzvak A. 🟥,
26', Nykrin D. ↓, Vlk M. ↑,
43', 0 - 1, Machalik D. ⚽,
45', Camara D. 🟥,
45+5', Didiba J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Dufek L. ↓, Hudak J. ↑,
64', Kosar J. ↓, Babatunde T. ↑,
67', 0 - 2, Vukadinovic V. ⚽,
75', Didiba J. ↓, Natchkebia Z. ↑,
76', Machalik D. 🟨,
78', Lexa M. ↓, Firbacher F. ↑,
78', Osaghae S. ↓, Brdicka F. ↑,
79', Vukadinovic V. ↓, Buchvaldek L. ↑,
79', Machalik D. ↓, Reiter R. ↑,
85', Tkac D. ↓, Kulisek P. ↑,
85', Poznar T. ↓, Brandner P. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Promotion: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Varnsdorf won 3.

Varnsdorf is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Zlín in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Zlín could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Zlín will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Varnsdorf won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7:12 (average 1.2:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Varnsdorf won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:3 (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Varnsdorf
Czech Division 2
02.10.24	Táborsko - Varnsdorf	2:0 ✺
28.09.24	Prostějov - Varnsdorf	1:1 ✺
Czech Cup
25.09.24	Sokol Živanice - Varnsdorf	0:3 ✺
Czech Division 2
22.09.24	Varnsdorf - Sigma Olomouc B	2:3 ✺
18.09.24	Varnsdorf - Chrudim	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LTWLL
- FC Zlín
Czech Division 2
28.09.24	Zlín - Sparta Prague B	2:0 ✺
Czech Cup
25.09.24	Sokol Tasovice - Zlín	1:5 ✺
Czech Division 2
22.09.24	Baník Ostrava B - Zlín	0:1 ✺
17.09.24	Zlín - Slavia Prague B	2:1 ✺
01.09.24	Zbrojovka Brno - Zlín	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Czech Cup
24.09.19	Varnsdorf - Zlín	1:2
Czech Division 2
20.03.15	Zlín - Varnsdorf	6:0
31.08.14	Varnsdorf - Zlín	3:0
31.05.14	Varnsdorf - Zlín	2:1
08.11.13	Zlín - Varnsdorf	0:1
12.04.13	Zlín - Varnsdorf	3:0

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