Match Info

Druga NL - Round 9

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Varteks Varazdin		Hrvatski Dragovoljac

	1	X	2
	2.52	3.2	2.42
	2.68	2.93	2.64	Watch
	2.55	3.3	2.45
	2.5	3.18	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↑ (2.2)	3.15 ↓ (3.34)	2.49 ↓ (2.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Varteks Varazdin
35.2%

Draw
28.6%

Hrvatski Dragovoljac
36.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41%

27%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

28.1%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Varteks Varazdin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Varteks Varazdin's form might have worsened.

Hrvatski Dragovoljac has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varteks Varazdin than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Varteks Varazdin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hrvatski Dragovoljac than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hrvatski Dragovoljac, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Varteks Varazdin - Hrvatski Dragovoljac Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
42', 1 - 0, Thiago Pato ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
61', 2 - 0, Mediero A. (Own goal),
90+2', 3 - 0, Cavlek D. ⚽,

Preview

A determined lower-tier side seeks an essential result against mid-table opposition (ranked 16th in the Relegation and 12th).

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Hrvatski Dragovoljac could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Varteks has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:1 (averaging 1.5:0.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Varteks against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 0:0 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Dragovoljac	10	3	2	5	10:17	-7	11
15	Varteks Varazdin	10	2	2	6	8:17	-9	8

Last Results with these Odds

Hrvatski Dragovoljac - the odds 2.82 are the expected chance of winning is 31.99%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Varteks Varazdin
Croatian Druga NL
10.10.26	Jarun Zagreb - Varteks Varazdin	1:0 ✺
03.10.26	Varteks Varazdin - Koprivnica	1:1 ✺
26.09.26	Bjelovar - Varteks Varazdin	1:1 ✺
19.09.26	Varteks Varazdin - Inker Zaprešić	0:2 ✺
12.09.26	Dugo Selo - Varteks Varazdin	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 LTTLW
- NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac
Croatian Druga NL
09.10.26	Hrvatski Dragovoljac - Uskok Klis	0:4 ✺
03.10.26	Grobničan - Hrvatski Dragovoljac	1:4 ✺
25.09.26	Hrvatski Dragovoljac - Radnik Križevci	0:1 ✺
19.09.26	Trnje Zagreb - Hrvatski Dragovoljac	0:1 ✺
12.09.26	Hrvatski Dragovoljac - Slavonija Požega	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Croatian Druga NL
24.04.26	Varteks Varazdin - Hrvatski Dragovoljac	0:0
24.10.25	Hrvatski Dragovoljac - Varteks Varazdin	1:3

Varteks Varazdin - Hrvatski Dragovoljac