Match Info

Druga NL - Round 28

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday


	Varteks Varazdin		Đakovo Croatia

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.95	5.15
	1.51	3.99	5.05
	1.54	3.95	5.24	Watch
	1.44	3.7	5.5
	1.45	4.05	6.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.54)	3.93 ↓ (3.98)	5.4 ↑ (5.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Varteks Varazdin
60.5%

Draw
22.9%

Đakovo Croatia
16.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.3%

23%

17.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5%

16.5%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Varteks Varazdin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Đakovo Croatia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varteks Varazdin than the current prediction. (-18%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Varteks Varazdin that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Đakovo Croatia than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Đakovo Croatia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Varteks Varazdin - Đakovo Croatia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 11 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Varteks has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Đakovo Croatia has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Varteks is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Varteks won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Varteks Varazdin	7	1	2	4	5:13	-8	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Varteks Varazdin
Croatian Druga NL
09.05.26	Jadran Luka Ploče - Varteks Varazdin	2:1 ✺
02.05.26	Lučko - Varteks Varazdin	1:1 ✺
24.04.26	Varteks Varazdin - Hrvatski Dragovoljac	0:0 ✺
17.04.26	Solin - Varteks Varazdin	2:3 ✺
11.04.26	Varteks Varazdin - Mladost Ždralovi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LTTWL
- HNK Đakovo Croatia
Croatian Druga NL
09.05.26	Đakovo Croatia - Hrvatski Dragovoljac	0:1 ✺
02.05.26	Solin - Đakovo Croatia	5:0 ✺
25.04.26	Đakovo Croatia - Mladost Ždralovi	1:2 ✺
18.04.26	Uljanik Pula - Đakovo Croatia	3:1 ✺
11.04.26	Đakovo Croatia - Trnje Zagreb	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Croatian Druga NL
15.11.25	Đakovo Croatia - Varteks Varazdin	2:1

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