Match Info

Copa do Brasil Women - 1/16-finals

Date: 28 May 2026, Thursday


	Vasco da Gama		América Mineiro

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.8	4.75
	1.54	3.72	4.53
	1.66	3.03	6.40	Watch
	1.62	3.5	4.4
	1.55	4	4.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.8)	3.61 ↓ (4)	4.99 ↑ (3.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vasco da Gama
56.9%

Draw
25%

América Mineiro
18.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51%

23%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9%

21.4%

24.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vasco da Gama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vasco da Gama's performance.

América Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and América Mineiro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that América Mineiro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Vasco da Gama - América Mineiro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
86', 1 - 0, Vick ⚽,

Preview

Vasco is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

América MG has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Vasco may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Vasco has had a series of home games.

Vasco could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Vasco will win today's game, with odds of 1.8.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Vasco won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Vasco won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vasco da Gama Women
Brasileiro A2 Women
23.05.26	Vasco da Gama - Doce Mel	5:0 ✺
20.05.26	3B da Amazônia - Vasco da Gama	3:3 ✺
16.05.26	Vasco da Gama - Rio Negro-RR	4:2 ✺
Copa do Brasil Women
12.05.26	Vasco da Gama - Araguari	5:1 ✺
Brasileiro A2 Women
02.05.26	Vasco da Gama - Itacoatiara	8:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WTWWW
- América Mineiro Women
Brasileiro Women
24.05.26	Botafogo RJ - América Mineiro	0:3 ✺
16.05.26	América Mineiro - Atlético Mineiro	0:2 ✺
08.05.26	Cruzeiro - América Mineiro	4:0 ✺
02.05.26	América Mineiro - Vitória Salvador	0:0 ✺
27.04.26	América Mineiro - São Paulo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.4 WLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Brasileiro A2 Women
04.07.21	Vasco da Gama - América Mineiro	2:1
27.06.21	América Mineiro - Vasco da Gama	2:0
16.05.21	Vasco da Gama - América Mineiro	3:1

Vasco da Gama - América Mineiro: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide