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Current Win Probability
Vasco da Gama AC 25.4%
Draw 25.8%
Galvez 48.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.9%
27.9%
27.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.7%
27.4%
26.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vasco da Gama AC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vasco da Gama AC's form might have worsened.
Galvez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Galvez's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vasco da Gama AC than the current prediction. (+20.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vasco da Gama AC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Galvez than the current prediction. (-22.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Galvez, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Vasco da Gama AC - Galvez Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Lukinha ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+4', 1 - 1, Daniego ⚽,
Penalties (4 - 5)
1, (Pen),
1, (Pen),
2, (Pen),
2, (Pen),
3, (Pen),
3, (Pen),
4, (Pen),
4, (Pen),
5, (Pen),
5, (Pen),
Preview
Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Acreano (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Acreano (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
Vasco da Gama AC in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recent matches Galvez is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Galvez could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Galvez have a series of guest games.
In this match Galvez is a favorite.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Vasco da Gama AC won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:14 (average 0.7:4.7).
Including matches at home between the teams Vasco da Gama AC won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:14 (average 0.7:4.7).