Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP F - ROUND 22

Date: 5 February 2023, Sunday


	Vastese		Avezzano

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.1	3.2
	2	3	3.5
	2.02	3.04	3.48
	2	3.4	3.1
	2.02	3.16	3.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (2.18)	3.14 ↑ (3.01)	3.35 ↑ (3.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vastese
44.5%

Draw
28.6%

Avezzano
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

29.6%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3%

28.4%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vastese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Avezzano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vastese than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vastese that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avezzano than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Vastese - Avezzano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out) and 8).

Vastese is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Avezzano has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Avezzano could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Vastese will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Vastese won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Vastese won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vastese Calcio 1902
Italian Serie D - Group F
29.01.23	Roma City - Vastese	1:0 ✺
15.01.23	Trastevere - Vastese	1:1 ✺
07.01.23	Vastese - Tolentino	2:0 ✺
21.12.22	Vastese - Pineto	1:4 ✺
18.12.22	Nuova Florida - Vastese	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LTWLL
- Avezzano Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group F
22.01.23	Roma City - Avezzano	2:0 ✺
15.01.23	Montegiorgio - Avezzano	2:0 ✺
08.01.23	Avezzano - Porto DAscoli	0:1 ✺
21.12.22	Avezzano - Sambenedettese	0:1 ✺
17.12.22	Trastevere - Avezzano	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group F
20.10.19	Avezzano - Vastese	1:1
28.04.19	Vastese - Avezzano	1:2
14.01.18	Avezzano - Vastese	3:2
10.09.17	Vastese - Avezzano	1:0

Vastese - Avezzano: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide