Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP F - ROUND 17

Date: 21 December 2022, Wednesday


	Vastese		Pineto

	1	X	2
	3.2	2.8	2.2
	3.3	2.85	2.19
	3.25	2.88	2.2
	3.05	2.75	2.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.2 ↑ (2.92)	2.82 ↓ (2.85)	2.28 ↓ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vastese
28.3%

Draw
32.1%

Pineto
39.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.9%

31.6%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3%

32%

37%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vastese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Pineto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vastese than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pineto than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out) and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Vastese won 3.

Recent matches Vastese is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Pineto is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Pineto could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Vastese won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 15-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Vastese won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vastese Calcio 1902
Italian Serie D - Group F
18.12.22	Nuova Florida - Vastese	1:0 ✺
11.12.22	Vastese - Notaresco	1:1 ✺
04.12.22	Chieti - Vastese	0:0 ✺
20.11.22	Montegiorgio - Vastese	3:0 ✺
13.11.22	Vastese - Sambenedettese	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LTTLW
- ASD Pineto Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group F
18.12.22	Pineto - Roma City	3:1 ✺
11.12.22	Porto DAscoli - Pineto	1:3 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
07.12.22	Pineto - Tolentino	5:1 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group F
04.12.22	Pineto - Trastevere	3:1 ✺
27.11.22	Tolentino - Pineto	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group F
03.04.22	Vastese - Pineto	2:0
21.11.21	Pineto - Vastese	2:2
26.05.21	Pineto - Vastese	1:2
18.10.20	Vastese - Pineto	3:0
03.11.19	Pineto - Vastese	1:1
03.03.19	Vastese - Pineto	0:1
10.11.18	Pineto - Vastese	2:1

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