Match Info

Date: 30 October 2021, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Vatan Spor Aschaffenburg		Abtswind

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Vatan Spor Aschaffenburg
30.9%

Draw
25.9%

Abtswind
43.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.8%

25.2%

37%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.6%

19.1%

52.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vatan Spor Aschaffenburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vatan Spor Aschaffenburg's form might have worsened.

Abtswind has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Abtswind's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vatan Spor Aschaffenburg than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Abtswind than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Abtswind could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Oberliga Bayern Nord (Relegation) and 9).

Recent matches Vatan Spor Aschaffenburg is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Abtswind is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Vatan Spor Aschaffenburg could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Abtswind will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vatan Spor Aschaffenburg
German Oberliga Bayern Nord
23.10.21	Vatan Spor Aschaffenburg - Großbardorf	2:2 ✺
15.10.21	Seligenporten - Vatan Spor Aschaffenburg	0:0 ✺
09.10.21	Vatan Spor Aschaffenburg - Bayern Hof	3:3 ✺
02.10.21	Sand - Vatan Spor Aschaffenburg	0:0 ✺
25.09.21	Vatan Spor Aschaffenburg - DJK Don Bosco Bamberg	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 TTTTL
- TSV Abtswind
German Oberliga Bayern Nord
24.10.21	DJK Ammerthal - Abtswind	3:2 ✺
16.10.21	Abtswind - ATSV Erlangen	1:2 ✺
09.10.21	Gebenbach - Abtswind	3:1 ✺
02.10.21	Abtswind - Ansbach	0:2 ✺
25.09.21	Cham - Abtswind	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLLLW

Vatan Spor Aschaffenburg - Abtswind