Match Info

Regionalliga West - Round 24

Date: 27 February 2026, Friday


	Velbert		Fortuna Düsseldorf II

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.5	2.05
	3.33	3.55	2.09
	3.21	3.45	2.06
	3.29	3.25	2.04
	2.55	3.6	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.1 ↑ (2.5)	3.47 ↓ (3.6)	2.13 ↓ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Velbert
29.9%

Draw
26.7%

Fortuna Düsseldorf II
43.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

25.2%

38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

24.6%

37.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Velbert has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Velbert's form might have worsened.

Fortuna Düsseldorf II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Velbert than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Velbert, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortuna Düsseldorf II than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fortuna Düsseldorf II, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Velbert - Fortuna Düsseldorf II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45+3', 0 - 1, Bindemann D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
67', 1 - 1, Machtemes M. ⚽,
69', 1 - 2, Bindemann D. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Velbert won 0.

In recent matches, Velbert has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Fortuna II is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Velbert may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Fortuna II has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Velbert won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:17. (average 0.9:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Velbert won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 1:12. (average 0.3:3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SSVg Velbert
German Regionalliga West
21.02.26	Gütersloh - Velbert	0:1 ✺
13.02.26	Velbert - Rot-Weiß Oberhausen	0:4 ✺
07.02.26	Borussia Mönchengladbach II - Velbert	0:1 ✺
24.01.26	Wuppertal - Velbert	0:1 ✺
16.01.26	Velbert - Sportfreunde Lotte	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 34.8 WLWWL
- Fortuna Düsseldorf II
German Regionalliga West
13.02.26	Bonner - Fortuna Düsseldorf II	1:0 ✺
07.02.26	Bocholt - Fortuna Düsseldorf II	0:3 ✺
31.01.26	Fortuna Düsseldorf II - Gütersloh	0:2 ✺
24.01.26	Rot-Weiß Oberhausen - Fortuna Düsseldorf II	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
18.01.26	SG Wattenscheid - Fortuna Düsseldorf II	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga West
13.09.25	Fortuna Düsseldorf II - Velbert	2:1
10.02.24	Velbert - Fortuna Düsseldorf II	0:5
19.08.23	Fortuna Düsseldorf II - Velbert	1:1
12.03.16	Velbert - Fortuna Düsseldorf II	1:3
19.09.15	Fortuna Düsseldorf II - Velbert	1:1
03.05.14	Fortuna Düsseldorf II - Velbert	1:3
10.11.13	Velbert - Fortuna Düsseldorf II	0:3

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