Match Info

Regionalliga West - Round 18

Date: 16 January 2026, Friday


	Velbert		Sportfreunde Lotte

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.75	1.82
	4.73	4.3	1.59
	3.84	3.7	1.8
	3.89	3.62	1.76
	3.8	3.75	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.97 ↑ (3.85)	3.82 ↑ (3.8)	1.76 ↑ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Velbert
23.3%

Draw
24.2%

Sportfreunde Lotte
52.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.8%

24.1%

52.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.3%

23.6%

53.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Velbert has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Sportfreunde Lotte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

The ML Model estimate for Velbert aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportfreunde Lotte than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Velbert - Sportfreunde Lotte Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. SF Lotte will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. SF Lotte (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
40', Remmo I. 🟨,
45+2', 0 - 1, Stublla S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
49', 0 - 2, Klefisch B. ⚽,
68', 0 - 3, Addai S. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Velbert won 0.

Velbert has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

SF Lotte has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

SF Lotte may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, SF Lotte is considered a favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Velbert won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Velbert won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1. (average 0:0.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	Lotte	11	0	3	8	7:22	-15	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SSVg Velbert
German Regionalliga West
28.11.25	Velbert - Siegen	2:2 ✺
15.11.25	Paderborn II - Velbert	3:2 ✺
08.11.25	Velbert - Wiedenbrück	2:1 ✺
02.11.25	Köln II - Velbert	4:1 ✺
25.10.25	Velbert - Schalke 04 II	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 TLWLL
- Sportfreunde Lotte
German Regionalliga West
29.11.25	Fortuna Köln - Sportfreunde Lotte	4:0 ✺
22.11.25	Sportfreunde Lotte - Bonner	1:0 ✺
09.11.25	Fortuna Düsseldorf II - Sportfreunde Lotte	2:3 ✺
31.10.25	Sportfreunde Lotte - Gütersloh	2:2 ✺
25.10.25	Rot-Weiß Oberhausen - Sportfreunde Lotte	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 LWWTT

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga West
26.07.25	Sportfreunde Lotte - Velbert	2:2
28.03.16	Sportfreunde Lotte - Velbert	2:0
03.10.15	Velbert - Sportfreunde Lotte	0:0
22.03.14	Velbert - Sportfreunde Lotte	0:0
24.09.13	Sportfreunde Lotte - Velbert	1:0
25.05.13	Velbert - Sportfreunde Lotte	0:1

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