Match Info

Regionalliga West - Round 33

Date: 8 May 2026, Friday


	Velbert		Paderborn II

	1	X	2
	2.82	3.6	2.18
	2.8	3.94	2.16
	2.73	4.13	2.09
	2.75	3.6	2.1
	2.79	3.68	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.78 ↓ (2.83)	3.79 ↑ (3.67)	2.13 ↓ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Velbert
32.9%

Draw
24.1%

Paderborn II
42.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.4%

24.9%

42.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2%

24%

44.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Velbert has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Paderborn II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Velbert than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paderborn II than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Velbert - Paderborn II Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Paderborn II (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
43', 0 - 1, Kojic M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
54', 0 - 2, Bugenhagen J. ⚽,
77', 0 - 3, Zajaczek A. ⚽,
90', 1 - 3, Hilger R. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Velbert is Relegated to

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Velbert won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:6. (average 1.7:2).

Including home match between the teams, Velbert won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Paderborn II	11	3	4	4	19:22	-3	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SSVg Velbert
German Regionalliga West
02.05.26	Wiedenbrück - Velbert	1:0 ✺
25.04.26	Velbert - Köln II	3:3 ✺
22.04.26	Velbert - Borussia Dortmund II	1:2 ✺
18.04.26	Schalke 04 II - Velbert	1:3 ✺
04.04.26	Rödinghausen - Velbert	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 LTLWT
- SC Paderborn II
German Regionalliga West
03.05.26	Paderborn II - Fortuna Köln	2:1 ✺
24.04.26	Bonner - Paderborn II	1:0 ✺
18.04.26	Paderborn II - Fortuna Düsseldorf II	1:2 ✺
12.04.26	Gütersloh - Paderborn II	1:1 ✺
05.04.26	Paderborn II - Rot-Weiß Oberhausen	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga West
15.11.25	Paderborn II - Velbert	3:2
05.05.24	Paderborn II - Velbert	1:1
10.11.23	Velbert - Paderborn II	2:2

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