Match Info

Regionalliga West - Round 29

Date: 22 April 2026, Wednesday


	Velbert		Borussia Dortmund II

	1	X	2
	4.75	4.25	1.55
	4.74	4.15	1.64
	4.8	4.19	1.56
	4.75	3.8	1.57
	6.47	5.44	1.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.1 ↑ (4.84)	4.37 ↑ (4.18)	1.52 ↓ (1.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Velbert
18.1%

Draw
21.2%

Borussia Dortmund II
60.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.9%

21.8%

59.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.5%

21.3%

60.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Velbert has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Borussia Dortmund II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Velbert than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borussia Dortmund II than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Velbert - Borussia Dortmund II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
15', 1 - 0, Machtemes M. ⚽,
45+1', 1 - 1, Pejazic M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', 1 - 2, Drakas B. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 4).

Velbert has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Borussia Dortmund II is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Velbert may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Velbert has had a series of away games.

In this match, Borussia Dortmund II is seen as the favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Velbert won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:10. (average 0.3:3.3).

Including home match between the teams, Velbert won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Dortmund II	11	7	4	0	23:11	12	25

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SSVg Velbert
German Regionalliga West
18.04.26	Schalke 04 II - Velbert	1:3 ✺
04.04.26	Rödinghausen - Velbert	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Bocholt - Velbert	2:1 ✺
13.03.26	Velbert - Fortuna Köln	0:2 ✺
07.03.26	Bonner - Velbert	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.5 WTLLW
- Borussia Dortmund II
German Regionalliga West
18.04.26	Borussia Dortmund II - Rödinghausen	3:2 ✺
15.04.26	Borussia Mönchengladbach II - Borussia Dortmund II	2:1 ✺
08.04.26	Siegen - Borussia Dortmund II	0:1 ✺
04.04.26	Borussia Dortmund II - Fortuna Köln	1:0 ✺
21.03.26	Bonner - Borussia Dortmund II	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga West
18.10.25	Borussia Dortmund II - Velbert	5:0
14.05.16	Borussia Dortmund II - Velbert	3:0
13.04.16	Velbert - Borussia Dortmund II	1:2

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