Match Info

Club Friendly

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday


	Velež Mostar		Kapfenberger SV

	1	X	2
	1.51	4.37	5.12
	1.53	3.8	5
	1.5	4.1	5.23	Watch
	1.54	4.25	5.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.48)	4.13 ↓ (4.2)	5.17 ↓ (5.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Velež Mostar
60.2%

Draw
22.1%

Kapfenberger SV
17.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.3%

21.6%

17%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.2%

21%

16.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Velež Mostar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Kapfenberger SV has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Velež Mostar than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kapfenberger SV than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Velež Mostar - Kapfenberger SV Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Ribic F. (G)
6. Abdullah R.
29. Babic A.
8. Hrkac A. (C)
7. Kuzmanovic M.
28. Mesic A.
19. Pidro S.
11. Saric I.
5. Serbecic B.
9. Spahic A.
10. Vehabovic E.
Substitutes
34. Antonic G.
55. Bajric A.
. Duranovic
. Duric V.
1. Karic T. (G)
47. Milak A.
21. Salcin D.
. Shhade A.
. Sotra
20. Stojanovic N.
23. Sturm K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
32', 1 - 0, Saric I. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

In recent matches, Velež Mostar has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Kapfenberg is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Velež Mostar is the team to beat.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Velež Mostar
Club Friendly
08.01.26	Velež Mostar - Odra Opole	1:2 ✺
Bosnian Premier League
13.12.25	Sloga Doboj - Velež Mostar	1:2 ✺
07.12.25	Zrinjski Mostar - Velež Mostar	1:1 ✺
02.12.25	Velež Mostar - Sarajevo	0:0 ✺
29.11.25	Velež Mostar - Rudar Prijedor	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 LWTTW
- Kapfenberger SV
Club Friendly
08.01.26	Lokomotiva Zagreb - Kapfenberger SV	1:1 ✺
Austrian 2 Liga
12.12.25	Kapfenberger SV - Floridsdorfer AC	0:0 ✺
05.12.25	Admira - Kapfenberger SV	6:1 ✺
28.11.25	Kapfenberger SV - Austria Wien II	1:2 ✺
23.11.25	St. Pölten - Kapfenberger SV	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.3 TTLLL

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