Match Info

RUSSIA: FNL 2 - DIVISION A GOLD - FALL SEASON - ROUND 11

Date: 23 September 2023, Saturday

Location: Avangard Stadium (Domodedovo)


	Veles Moscow		Dynamo Bryansk

	1	X	2
	2.56	2.88	2.75	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↓ (3.12)	2.88 ↓ (3.1)	2.75 ↑ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Veles Moscow
35.5%

Draw
31.5%

Dynamo Bryansk
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.8%

30%

40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.1%

29.3%

41%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Veles Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Veles Moscow's performance.

Dynamo Bryansk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dynamo Bryansk might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Veles Moscow than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Veles Moscow that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dynamo Bryansk than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dynamo Bryansk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Akmurzin T. (G) 22. Denilkhanov M. 10. Frolov Y. 20. Ivakin Y. 25. Karasev P. (C) 14. Kotelnikov I. 2. Kutepov I. 34. Makeev E. 31. Matveev M. 55. Rubanov D. 97. Shubin A.	1. Shebanov D. (G) 10. Drogunov V. 5. Ilyukhin D. 29. Kudryashov P. 22. Kuptsov D. 3. Luppa D. (C) 12. Medvedev A. 15. Novikov A. 8. Novikov M. 4. Osipov D. 20. Pikatov D.
Substitutes
70. Amiraliev A. 8. Kobakhidze V. 73. Kopylov S. 21. Kuskov A. 1. Kuznetsov A. (G) 4. Mikhaylenko D. 93. Motovichev D. 17. Pesikov E. 3. Petrunin D. 99. Sarkisyan G. 77. Smirnov O.	16. Chuvasov D. (G) 9. Dudayti T. 27. Evinov A. 19. Gaydukov M. 11. Gordeev K. 6. Kanishchev A. 30. Olegovic D. 14. Saigushev E.

Preview

Recent matches Veles is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Dynamo Bryansk is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Dynamo Bryansk could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Veles won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Veles won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Veles Moscow
Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
17.09.23	Rotor - Veles Moscow	4:2 ✺
Russian Cup
13.09.23	Veles Moscow - Znamya Truda	1:2 penalties ✺
Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
03.09.23	Veles Moscow - Krasnodar 2	3:0 ✺
27.08.23	Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Veles Moscow	5:0 ✺
Russian Cup
23.08.23	Peresvet Domodedovo - Veles Moscow	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LLWLW
- Dynamo Bryansk
Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
17.09.23	Dynamo Bryansk - Volga Ulyanovsk	0:1 ✺
Russian Cup
13.09.23	Dynamo Bryansk - Kaluga	1:0 penalties ✺
Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
09.09.23	Irtysh Omsk - Dynamo Bryansk	1:3 ✺
03.09.23	Dynamo Bryansk - Ufa	1:0 ✺
27.08.23	Rotor - Dynamo Bryansk	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
30.07.23	Dynamo Bryansk - Veles Moscow	0:1
Russian Cup
25.08.21	Dynamo Bryansk - Veles Moscow	0:3
Russian FNL
28.04.21	Dynamo Bryansk - Veles Moscow	1:0
01.11.20	Veles Moscow - Dynamo Bryansk	2:1

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