Match Info

RUSSIA: FNL 2 - Division A Gold - Spring Season - Round 18

Date: 8 June 2024, Saturday


	Veles Moscow		Krasnodar 2

	1	X	2
	2.02	3.2	2.9
	2.1	3.24	3.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.1)	3.22 ↑ (3.2)	3.06 ↓ (3.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Veles Moscow
43.2%

Draw
27.7%

Krasnodar 2
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.5%

28.5%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

27.9%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Veles Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Krasnodar 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Veles Moscow than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Krasnodar 2 than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Shitov A. (G) 20. Ivakin Y. 8. Kobakhidze V. 14. Kotelnikov I. 2. Kutepov I. (C) 95. Magomadov C. 3. Petrunin D. 97. Shubin A. 77. Smirnov O. 15. Sosranov R. 7. Umarov I.	34. Golikov D. A. (G) 75. Bagrintsev E. 56. Chobanov R. (C) 54. Churikov I. 77. Getman N. 36. Mullin K. 57. Plotnikov N. 29. Shakhov V. 41. Sukhoruchenko M. 48. Zheleznov Y. 28. Zhilkin G.
Substitutes
22. Denilkhanov M. 10. Frolov Y. 25. Karasev P. 5. Koloskov A. 1. Kuznetsov A. (G) 31. Matveev M. 17. Pesikov E. 80. Rybalko M. 99. Sarkisyan G. 48. Sutugin I. 9. Vostrikov I. 12. Zheimo N. A. (G)	55. Domotsev A. 87. Gubzhokov I. 21. Karpov D. 26. Kratkov D. 45. Kulikov A. 35. Safronov R. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', Zhilkin G. 🟨,
26', 1 - 0, Petrunin D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', Bagrintsev E. ↓, Domotsev A. ↑,
47', Zhilkin G. ↓, Kulikov A. ↑,
61', 2 - 0, Smirnov O. ⚽,
62', Umarov I. ↓, Pesikov E. ↑,
64', Pesikov E. 🟨,
68', Petrunin D. 🟨,
68', 2 - 1, Domotsev A. ⚽,
68', 🟨,
69', Mullin K. ↓, Karpov D. ↑,
73', Kotelnikov I. ↓, Sutugin I. ↑,
74', Ivakin Y. ↓, Frolov Y. ↑,
80', Getman N. ↓, Gubzhokov I. ↑,
82', Plotnikov N. 🟨,
83', Gubzhokov I. 🟨,

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 6 and 7 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL 2 ~ Division A Silver (Fall Season: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Veles won 2.

Veles is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Krasnodar 2 is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Veles will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Veles won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Veles won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Veles Moscow
Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
03.06.24	Metallurg Lipetsk - Veles Moscow	0:3 ✺
30.05.24	Veles Moscow - Novosibirsk	1:1 ✺
26.05.24	Veles Moscow - Chelyabinsk	0:1 ✺
28.04.24	Veles Moscow - Chayka Peschanokopskoye	1:0 ✺
24.04.24	Rotor - Veles Moscow	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 34.5 WTLWW
- FC Krasnodar 2
Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
03.06.24	Krasnodar 2 - Ufa	0:4 ✺
30.05.24	Chelyabinsk - Krasnodar 2	1:2 ✺
26.05.24	Novosibirsk - Krasnodar 2	2:0 ✺
28.04.24	Krasnodar 2 - Chelyabinsk	0:0 ✺
24.04.24	Krasnodar 2 - Murom	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
29.10.23	Krasnodar 2 - Veles Moscow	4:1
03.09.23	Veles Moscow - Krasnodar 2	3:0
Russian FNL
20.05.23	Krasnodar 2 - Veles Moscow	5:2
30.10.22	Veles Moscow - Krasnodar 2	1:0
23.04.22	Krasnodar 2 - Veles Moscow	0:0
09.10.21	Veles Moscow - Krasnodar 2	3:1
06.03.21	Krasnodar 2 - Veles Moscow	2:1

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