Match Info

Date: 5 December 2020, Saturday


	Velež Mostar		Olimpic Sarajevo

	1	X	2
	1.3	4.2	9
	1.26	5	8.25
	1.21	4.75	10
	1.26	4.6	10
	1.26	5.53	12.78
	1.27	4.75	9.5
	1.26	5.05	10.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.37)	4.84 ↑ (4)	10 ↑ (7.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Velež Mostar
72.1%

Draw
18.8%

Olimpic Sarajevo
9.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.5%

22.4%

12.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

76.3%

19.2%

10.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Velež Mostar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Velež Mostar's performance.

Olimpic Sarajevo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Velež Mostar than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olimpic Sarajevo than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Velež Mostar - Olimpic Sarajevo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Velež Mostar is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Olimpic Sarajevo is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Olimpic Sarajevo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Velež Mostar is certain favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Velež Mostar won 1 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 10-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Velež Mostar won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Velež Mostar
Bosnian Premier League
01.12.20	Tuzla City - Velež Mostar	1:3 ✺
28.11.20	Velež Mostar - Sarajevo	0:0 ✺
22.11.20	Krupa - Velež Mostar	1:1 ✺
Bosnian Cup
14.11.20	Velež Mostar - Široki Brijeg	0:1 ✺
Bosnian Premier League
08.11.20	Velež Mostar - Široki Brijeg	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WTTLW
- Olimpic Sarajevo
Bosnian Premier League
02.12.20	Olimpic Sarajevo - Mladost Doboj Kakanj	0:2 ✺
28.11.20	Olimpic Sarajevo - Tuzla City	3:2 ✺
22.11.20	Sarajevo - Olimpic Sarajevo	2:0 ✺
07.11.20	Olimpic Sarajevo - Krupa	1:1 ✺
31.10.20	Široki Brijeg - Olimpic Sarajevo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Bosnian Premier League
12.09.20	Olimpic Sarajevo - Velež Mostar	2:1
Bosnian Prva Liga FBiH
24.03.19	Olimpic Sarajevo - Velež Mostar	2:2
Bosnian Cup
20.09.17	Velež Mostar - Olimpic Sarajevo	1:3
Bosnian Premier League
09.04.16	Olimpic Sarajevo - Velež Mostar	1:0
19.09.15	Velež Mostar - Olimpic Sarajevo	1:2
11.04.15	Olimpic Sarajevo - Velež Mostar	1:0
30.08.14	Velež Mostar - Olimpic Sarajevo	1:1

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