Match Info

BOSNIA AND HERZEGOVINA: WWIN Liga BiH - Round 33

Date: 24 May 2024, Friday

Location: Gradski stadion Tusanj (Tuzla)

Referee: Todic D. (Bih)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport


	Tuzla City		Velež Mostar

	1	X	2
	2.87	3.4	2.1
	7.5	5	1.33
	7.35	5.17	1.27
	7.35	5.17	1.28
	3	3.2	2.15
	8.5	5.75	1.27
	3.05	3.5	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.66 ↑ (2.97)	4.46 ↑ (3.56)	1.64 ↓ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tuzla City
17.5%

Draw
22.2%

Velež Mostar
60.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.2%

26%

42.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9%

24.1%

46.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tuzla City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tuzla City's form might have worsened.

Velež Mostar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Velež Mostar's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tuzla City than the current prediction. (+11.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tuzla City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Velež Mostar than the current prediction. (-14.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Velež Mostar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.7%	7.7%	84.6%

Tuzla City - Velež Mostar Predictions

Users Predictions: Velež Mostar will win (33 of 39 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.3% – 95.94%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lolic E. (G) 34. Cosic D. 5. Delimedjac M. 22. Fehric A. 18. Garcevic V. 29. Husejinovic A. 24. Husic A. 20. Osmic J. 19. Redzic H. (C) 16. Rizvic M. 21. Sakic E.	25. Duka T. (G) 83. Besic M. 18. Domic S. 55. Gholami A. 6. Halilovic D. 65. Kuko O. 11. Mlinaric M. 14. Peco D. 16. Sikalo T. 28. Vehabovic E. 4. Zvonic D. (C)
Substitutes
12. Abdulahovic T. (G) 9. Hadzic I. 15. Hodzic D. 14. Hodzic T. 33. Jasarevic I. 25. Kobiljar R. 27. Sarajlic V. (G) 6. Sukilovic M. 30. Susic T.	3. Gosto D. 30. Juklo D. 47. Milak A. 67. Nanic E. (G) 2. Orec A. 7. Prses O. 38. Puce D. 23. Sturm K. 10. Suljic A.
Coaches
Osmanhodzic A.	Klafuric D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
31', 0 - 1, Mlinaric M. ⚽, Vehabovic E. (A),
34', Besic M. 🟨,
39', 0 - 2, Mlinaric M. ⚽, Zvonic D. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 3)
47', 0 - 3, Halilovic D. ⚽,
55', 0 - 4, Sikalo T. ⚽,
60', Halilovic D. ↓, Prses O. ↑,
60', Sikalo T. ↓, Puce D. ↑,
60', Kuko O. ↓, Milak A. ↑,
63', Husic A. ↓, Kobiljar R. ↑,
63', Delimedjac M. ↓, Hodzic D. ↑,
63', Fehric A. ↓, Hadzic I. ↑,
63', Sakic E. ↓, Sukilovic M. ↑,
82', 1 - 4, Hadzic I. ⚽,
85', Domic S. ↓, Mehic E. ↑,
85', Besic M. ↓, Juklo D. ↑,
87', Osmic J. ↓, Hodzic T. ↑,
89', 1 - 5, Mlinaric M. ⚽,

Preview

Tuzla City is Relegated to

Velež Mostar is Qualified for Europa Conference League (Qualification )

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tuzla City won 0.

Tuzla City has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Velež Mostar is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Velež Mostar will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Velež Mostar to win the game is with odds 2.14.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Tuzla City won 3 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 15-28.

Including matches at home between the teams Tuzla City won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Tuzla City
Bosnian Premier League
20.05.24	Zrinjski Mostar - Tuzla City	4:0 ✺
13.05.24	Tuzla City - Borac Banja Luka	2:6 ✺
03.05.24	Željezničar Sarajevo - Tuzla City	2:0 ✺
29.04.24	Tuzla City - Igman Konjic	1:2 ✺
24.04.24	Zvijezda Brgule - Tuzla City	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Velež Mostar
Bosnian Premier League
20.05.24	Velež Mostar - GOŠK Gabela	3:3 ✺
11.05.24	Široki Brijeg - Velež Mostar	0:1 ✺
03.05.24	Velež Mostar - Posušje	2:0 ✺
28.04.24	Sarajevo - Velež Mostar	3:0 ✺
23.04.24	Velež Mostar - Sloga Doboj	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Bosnian Premier League
11.03.24	Velež Mostar - Tuzla City	1:1
Bosnian Cup
09.02.24	Velež Mostar - Tuzla City	3:2
Bosnian Premier League
23.10.23	Tuzla City - Velež Mostar	1:1
14.04.23	Tuzla City - Velež Mostar	1:1
26.02.23	Tuzla City - Velež Mostar	0:1
05.09.22	Velež Mostar - Tuzla City	4:0
14.05.22	Velež Mostar - Tuzla City	1:0

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