The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Velež Mostar 25.8%
Draw 32.7%
Zrinjski Mostar 41.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.2%
30.8%
33%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.3%
31.8%
32%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Velež Mostar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Velež Mostar's form might have worsened.
Zrinjski Mostar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Zrinjski Mostar's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Velež Mostar than the current prediction. (+11.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Velež Mostar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zrinjski Mostar than the current prediction. (-9.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Zrinjski Mostar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Velež Mostar - Zrinjski Mostar Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Karic T. (G) 6. Abdullah R. 29. Babic A. 21. Djuric V. 8. Hrkac A. (C) 44. Nukic A. 19. Pidro S. 22. Salcin D. 11. Saric I. 5. Serbecic B. 9. Spahic A.
18. Karacic G. (G) 77. Abramovic K. 4. Barisic H. 99. Bilbija N. (C) 25. Cuze M. 30. Djurasek N. 55. Dujmovic D. 17. Ilic A. 20. Ivancic A. 12. Mamic P. 50. Memija K.
Substitutes
55. Bajric A. 30. Dogan D. 18. Duranovic S. 20. Halilovic D. 28. Mesic A. 47. Milak A. 13. Omerovic A. 12. Ribic F. (G) 80. Stojanovic N. 23. Sturm K. 10. Vehabovic E.
42. Cavar M. 27. Jakovljevic S. 11. Juric T. 6. Karacic D. 10. Kis T. 40. Ljubic M. (G) 9. Mikic L. 14. Sakota M. 21. Savic I. 23. Surdanovic S. 19. Vranjkovic M.
Coaches
Rahimic I.
Stimac I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Bilbija N. ⚽,
12', Saric I. 🟨,
24', Karacic G. 🟨,
36', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', Djurasek N. 🟨,
63', Salcin D. ↓, Dogan D. ↑,
65', Nukic A. 🟨,
73', Bilbija N. (Penalty Awarded),
74', Cuze M. 🟨,
74', Nukic A. ↓, Omerovic A. ↑,
74', Djuric V. ↓, Stojanovic N. ↑,
78', Barisic H. 🟨,
86', 🟨,
90+4', Bilbija N. ↓, Juric T. ↑,
90+5', Barisic H. 🟨,
90+6', 1 - 1, Spahic A. ⚽,
90+8', Vehabovic E. 🟥,
Preview
First leg result: 0-1.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Velež Mostar won 0.
Velež Mostar has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Zrinjski is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Velež Mostar won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 12:27. (average 0.6:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Velež Mostar won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 0.7:1.2).
Last Results with these Odds
Velež Mostar - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 36.22%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.
Bosnia-and-herzegovina
Croatia
Serbia
Watch
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Karic T. (G) 
Abdullah R. 
Babic A. 
Djuric V. 
Spahic A. 
Sturm K. 
Juric T. 
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