Match Info

Date: 13 March 2022, Sunday


	Velo Clube		São Caetano

	1	X	2
	2.4	2.85	3.1
	2.4	2.75	3
	2.26	2.85	3.15
	2.47	2.9	3.18
	2.38	2.98	3.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↓ (2.49)	2.87 ↑ (2.84)	3.09 ↑ (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Velo Clube
38.4%

Draw
31.9%

São Caetano
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.6%

32.1%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.8%

21.8%

46.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Velo Clube has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

São Caetano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Velo Clube than the current prediction. (-13.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Velo Clube that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Caetano than the current prediction. (+16.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that São Caetano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Velo Clube - São Caetano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato Paulista A2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Velo Clube is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches São Caetano is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Velo Clube could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Velo Clube
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
09.03.22	Red Bull Brasil - Velo Clube	2:1 ✺
06.03.22	Linense - Velo Clube	1:0 ✺
02.03.22	Velo Clube - EC Lemense	0:2 ✺
26.02.22	Velo Clube - Portuguesa	0:1 ✺
23.02.22	CA Juventus - Velo Clube	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LLLLW
- AD São Caetano
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
09.03.22	São Caetano - Linense	3:0 ✺
05.03.22	São Caetano - São Bento	1:3 ✺
02.03.22	Piracicaba - São Caetano	2:0 ✺
26.02.22	São Caetano - Grêmio Osasco Audax	0:1 ✺
23.02.22	Red Bull Brasil - São Caetano	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLLLW

Velo Clube - São Caetano: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide