Match Info

BRAZIL: Paulista - Round 7

Date: 4 February 2025, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Benito Agnelo Castellano (Rio Claro)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Brasileirao Play, Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, UOL Play, Zapping
Usa	Fanatiz


	Velo Clube		Portuguesa

	1	X	2
	2.45	3	3.2	Watch
	2.35	3	3.2
	2.32	2.75	3.2
	2.46	3.01	3.21
	2.42	2.94	3.21	Watch
	2.38	2.8	3.1
	2.49	2.96	3.03	Watch
	2.32	2.75	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↓ (2.7)	2.9 ↓ (2.96)	3.17 ↑ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Velo Clube
38.7%

Draw
32%

Portuguesa
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

31%

35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6%

30.5%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Velo Clube has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Portuguesa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Portuguesa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Velo Clube than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portuguesa than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Portuguesa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	42.9%	14.3%

Velo Clube - Portuguesa Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Velo Clube will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Portuguesa will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dalton (G) 3. Rafael Ribeiro 5. Julio Vaz 4. Mancha 2. Yuri Ferraz 7. Pedro Favela 8. Leo Baiano (C) 6. Leo Campos 10. Felipinho 11. Jefferson Nem 9. Daniel Amorim	1. Rafael Santos (C) 2. Alex Silva 13. Eduardo Biazus 4. Alex Nascimento 6. Lucas Hipolito 8. Hudson 10. Cristiano 15. Taua 7. Jaja 9. Renan 19. Maceio
Substitutes
22. Caio Bolonhin (G) 15. Carlos Manuel 21. Cauari 14. Luan Sales 19. Lucas Duni 13. Marcelo Augusto 12. Pablo (G) 17. Pedro Cacho 16. Rennan Siqueira 20. Sillas 18. Vinicius Leite	18. Barba 12. Bruno Bertinato (G) 11. Everton 5. Fernando Henrique 20. Guilherme Portuga 3. Gustavo Henrique 23. Gustavo Talles 17. Henrique Almeida 25. Matheus Nunes 16. Pedro Henrique 21. Rildo 14. Robson
Coaches
Guilherme Alves	Cauan de Almeida

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
27', Eduardo Biazus 🟨,
29', Sillas 🟨,
29', Taua 🟨,
30', Daniel Amorim (Pen),
30', 1 - 0, Jefferson Nem ⚽,
39', 1 - 1, Renan ⚽,
45+2', Leo Baiano 🟨,
45+2', Yuri Ferraz 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Taua ↓, Fernando Henrique ↑,
52', 2 - 1, Sillas ⚽, Daniel Amorim (A),
54', Leo Baiano ↓, Carlos Manuel ↑,
61', Sillas ↓, Felipinho ↑,
64', Hudson ↓, Rildo ↑,
71', 2 - 2, Renan ⚽, Lucas Hipolito (A),
80', Jaja ↓, Matheus Nunes ↑,
80', Leo Campos ↓, Rennan Siqueira ↑,
80', Lucas Hipolito ↓, Pedro Henrique ↑,
80', Pedro Favela ↓, Vinicius Leite ↑,
90+1', Cristiano ↓, Henrique Almeida ↑,

Preview

Velo Clube is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Portuguesa is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Velo Clube won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0:2 (average 0:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Velo Clube won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Velo Clube
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
01.02.25	Velo Clube - Mirassol	0:1 ✺
28.01.25	Grêmio Novorizontino - Velo Clube	1:1 ✺
25.01.25	Velo Clube - Santos	2:1 ✺
22.01.25	Red Bull Bragantino - Velo Clube	1:0 ✺
19.01.25	Corinthians - Velo Clube	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 LTWLL
- Portuguesa SP
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
01.02.25	Portuguesa - Botafogo SP	3:2 ✺
29.01.25	Portuguesa - São Paulo	1:2 ✺
26.01.25	Mirassol - Portuguesa	2:1 ✺
22.01.25	Ponte Preta - Portuguesa	0:0 ✺
18.01.25	Portuguesa - Grêmio Novorizontino	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
26.02.22	Velo Clube - Portuguesa	0:1
24.04.21	Portuguesa - Velo Clube	1:0

Velo Clube - Portuguesa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide