The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Venafro 17.2%
Draw 25%
Paganese 57.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
16.8%
25.8%
57.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
17.3%
25.1%
55.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Venafro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
Paganese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Venafro than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paganese than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
Venafro - Paganese Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
45+7', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 17th in the Relegation and 3rd in the Promotion - Serie D - Group G Playoffs).
Venafro is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by Paganese have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Venafro could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Paganese carries the favorite tag into this contest.
No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.